俄罗斯经济只有中国的1/10,连CPU都造不出来,怎么能生产出地球上技术最先进的武器装备和航天装备呢?
2024-01-23 Aya Shawn 12701
正文翻译

Profile photo for Aya Shawn
Aya Shawn
Living in Singapore, professional investorWed
The questioner apparently confused "technical issues" and "engineering issues"
An advanced semiconductor (CPU), which is a specific technology
A moon landing spacecraft or space rocket is a large-scale project
There is a wrong view here: if a certain technology is not advanced enough, a certain project will definitely not be realized. This is wrong.

提问者显然混淆了“技术问题”和“工程问题”
先进的半导体(CPU),这是一种特定的技术
登月航天器或太空火箭是一项大型项目
这里有一个错误的观点:如果某个技术不够先进,某个项目就一定无法实现。这是错误的。

The role of most advanced technologies is to reduce the cost and difficulty of the project and improve the reliability of the project, rather than being the key to determining whether the project can be successful.
The computer used for the Apollo moon landings had less computing power than an Apple watch today, but they still successfully landed on the moon.
When a technology is not advanced enough, engineers will change the design to achieve similar effects through other methods. The project may become more expensive, cumbersome, or less reliable, but still achieve the ultimate goal.

最先进技术的作用是降低项目的成本和难度,提高项目的可靠性,而不是决定项目能否成功的关键。
阿波罗登月所用的计算机的计算能力还不如今天的苹果手表,但他们仍然成功登陆月球。
当一项技术不够先进时,工程师会改变设计,通过其他方法达到类似的效果。该项目可能会变得更昂贵、更麻烦或更不可靠,但仍能实现最终目标。

There is a famous scientist in China, Mr. Qian Xuesen. He has a professional book "Engineering Cybernetics", which explains this philosophy: technology is a component for realizing engineering. When we lack a component, we should consider changing to another implementation path. When one of our parts is not reliable enough, the engineering should be made reliable through better design.

中国有一位著名的科学家,钱学森先生。他有一本专业著作《工程控制论》,书中解释了这样一个理念:技术是实现工程的组成部分。当我们缺少一个组件时,我们应该考虑改变到另一个实现路径。当我们的某个部件不够可靠时,应该通过更好的设计来使工程变得可靠。

When humans did not have cranes, they built the pyramids and the Great Wall
Before humans had integrated circuits, they had already landed on the moon.
Before humans launched the global satellite positioning system, missiles could already hit targets accurately.
Before humans invented the steam engine, they had already sailed around the world
Before humans invented gunpowder, they could already launch large-scale wars

当人类没有起重机时,他们建造了金字塔和长城
在人类拥有集成电路之前,他们就已经登上了月球。
在人类推出全球卫星定位系统之前,导弹就已经可以准确命中目标。
人类在发明蒸汽机之前,就已经环球航行了
在人类发明火药之前,就已经可以发动大规模战争

原创翻译:龙腾网 https://www.ltaaa.cn 转载请注明出处


So, back to the original question
If Russia does not have advanced semiconductors, can it not manufacture effective weapons and spacecraft?
Of course not. The deficiencies in one technical field cannot cover up Russia's strength in other technical fields. The results of a project are often not determined by the level of a single technology.
The lack of a few technologies may result in higher costs, slower speeds, lower output, poorer reliability, and worse volume and weight performance, but in the end, Russia's goals will still be achieved.

那么,回到原来的问题
俄罗斯如果没有先进的半导体,难道就不能制造有效的武器和航天器吗?
当然不是。某一技术领域的不足并不能掩盖俄罗斯在其他技术领域的实力。一个项目的成果往往不是由单一技术的水平决定的。
缺少一些技术可能会导致成本更高、速度更慢、产量更低、可靠性更差、体积和重量性能更差,但最终俄罗斯的目标仍然会实现。

评论翻译
Profile photo for Nguyen Duc Quoc Anh
Nguyen Duc Quoc Anh
· Wed
Thank you for sharing the view an the explanation. I think this is so far the best and most elaborate answer for this question.

感谢您分享观点和解释。我认为这是迄今为止对这个问题最好、最详尽的答案。

Profile photo for Manohar Shrestha
Manohar Shrestha
· Thu
Really good answer. Aya Shawn You have a unique & rational way to explain reality. You should be a writer. I am one. I see myself in ur writing , In a a separate field. All good writers have similar qualities: high IQ & presenting skills. Keep it up.

真是很好的答案。Aya Shawn 你有总能独特和理性地解释现实。你应该成为一名作家。我就是一名作家。我在你的写作中看到了自己,尽管在一个不同的领域。所有优秀的作家都具有相似的品质:高智商和高品质。展示技巧。继续努力吧。
原创翻译:龙腾网 https://www.ltaaa.cn 转载请注明出处


Profile photo for Stiffmann
Stiffmann
· Wed
That’s a good post!
When you put a rock on top of a bean, the bean sprouts will grow from the side!
Technology will always find its way

这是个好帖子!
当你把石头压在豆子上面,豆芽会从旁边生长!
技术总会找到它的出路

Profile photo for Rehan Khan
Rehan Khan
· Wed
Rightly said Aya…its about getting the job done, one way or the other

Aya 说得对……关键是要以某种方式完成工作

Profile photo for Richard James Nelson
Richard James Nelson
· Thu
There is a well known example of an advanced Russian aircraft. When one was obtained and examined it used vacuum tubes when all others used semiconductors. Weight and efficiency are critical for aircraft. It is surmised that vacuum tubes are less affected by an EMP in a nuclear environment and the Russian aircraft would be at an advantage.

有一个众所周知的俄罗斯先进飞机的例子。某一个关键电子零件,它使用真空电子管,而其他所有同类产品都使用半导体,因为重量和效率对于飞机至关重要。
据推测,真空电子管在核环境中受电磁脉冲的影响较小,这种情况下俄罗斯飞机将处于优势。
Profile photo for Lù Shèng An 陆盛安
Lù Shèng An 陆盛安

· Wed
That's why Titanium Man's suit was so much more bulkier than Iron Man's.

这就是为什么钛人的套装比钢铁侠的套装笨重得多。

Profile photo for Jonathan Wayne Edwards
Jonathan Wayne Edwards
· Thu
Excellent original content answer! Thank you, Aya Shawn!

优秀的原创内容答案!谢谢你,Aya Shawn!

Profile photo for Andrew Fowkes
Andrew Fowkes
· 1h
A very insightful summary, thank you.
Your summary reminds me of the American approach to photolithography machines
They believe that by banning the sale of such machines, they can prevent China from completing its technological upgrade and rise
Ordinary people can understand the problem, why can’t politicians understand it?

非常有见地的总结,谢谢。
您的总结让我想到了美国关于光刻机的做法
他们认为通过禁止销售这种机器,就能阻止中国完成技术升级和崛起
普通人都能明白的问题,为什么政治家不明白呢?

很赞 37
收藏