为什么伊朗对以色列的袭击(2024 年 4 月 13 日)造成的实际损失如此之小?他们是为了避免遭到以色列的大规模报复而退缩,还是他们只是无能?
2024-04-15 冲动的小李 7771
正文翻译
Profile photo for Kanthaswamy Balasubramaniam
Kanthaswamy Balasubramaniam
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LawyerSun
They didn't want to hit Israeli targets
They wanted to ensure Israel depletes it's stock of missiles
Plus Israel gets into a financial mess
And it's working
Israel fired 100+ Missiles today at a cost of $ 115 Million versus Iran which fired $ 9 Million worth of missiles
Israel has lost almost $ 21 Billion so far from Shipping Revenue from Haifa Port and Red Sea Shopping
Israel has incurred $ 40 Billion in their Gaza war with no results

他们不想袭击以色列目标
他们想确保以色列耗尽其导弹库存
此外,以色列还陷入了财务困境
而且它正在发挥作用
以色列今天发射了100多枚导弹,耗资1.15亿美元,而伊朗发射了价值900万美元的导弹
迄今为止,以色列因海法港和红海购物的航运收入损失了近210亿美元
以色列在加沙战争中花费了400亿美元,却毫无成果

So far the entire operation has cost Israel around 2600 Lives (800 Soldiers plus 1800 Civilians) and close to $ 61 Billion in costs for virtually very little gains plus at least 160 Tanks and around 200 Armored Vehicles
Israel has the technology but lacks the mass production means to replenish stocks fast enough
Israel can make 200 Missiles a Year against 700 that Iran can make in a year today
So Missiles that can be produced in a whole year can be expended in a mere 2 days or 3 days
Israel will be dependent on everything on the US
They will be forced to listen to the US more
So maybe Biden gave his blessing to Iran today??

到目前为止,整个行动已经造成以色列约2600人死亡(800名士兵和1800名平民),成本接近610亿美元,但收获甚微,此外还损失了至少160辆坦克和约200辆装甲车
以色列拥有技术,但缺乏大规模生产手段来快速补充库存
以色列每年可生产200枚导弹,而伊朗目前每年可生产700枚导弹
因此,一年才能生产的导弹,仅需2天或3天就能用完
以色列将完全依赖美国
他们将被迫更多地听美国的意见
那么拜登今天可能对伊朗表示了祝贺??

评论翻译
@James Cole
Israel has threatened a massive retaliation though. Sleepy Joe claims the US does not want to be drawn into the conflict.

以色列威胁要进行大规模报复。但是睡眼惺忪的乔(指美国总统)声称美国不想被卷入这场冲突。

@Hu Shi xiong
It's a logistics nightmare.

这是一个后勤噩梦。

@hoKatsu Ryo Komei
If they can invade Iraq. They can invade Iran too

如果他们能入侵伊拉克。他们也能入侵伊朗。

@Sandeep Albert Mathias
Iraq is about 5 to 10% of the size of Iran with a lot of open flat territory. Easy for tanks to roll through.

伊拉克的面积大约是伊朗的5%到10%,有很多开阔平坦的地形。坦克很容易通过。

@Yap You Wai
HMM…. Russia have warned that they will protect Iran

嗯……俄罗斯已经警告说他们会保护伊朗。

@Emlyn
Nope, wrong.

不,错了。

@III Moh
Israel was unable to intercept all 7 cruise missiles that landed on the military Airbase from which it launched the attack on the Iranian Embassy.

以色列无法拦截所有7枚巡航导弹,这些导弹落在了它对伊朗大使馆发动攻击的军事空军基地上。

@Kanthaswamy Balasubramaniam
Right


@Kiara
It was 7, israel media accepted that. F35 were there in that base

是7枚,以色列媒体承认了。那个基地有F35战机。

@Jenil Josin
I read Iran sent nearly 200.missiles and out of which only 7 made its way.. meaning a mere <5 percentage..Now the question is Does Iran too possess the same capability if at attacked by Israel in case they choose to retaliate in the same fashion? If NO then Israel can easily manage to defeat Iran with only material help.from US

我读到伊朗发射了近200枚导弹,其中只有7枚命中... 也就是说,仅仅不到5%的命中率。现在的问题是,如果伊朗在被以色列攻击后选择以同样的方式进行报复,他们是否也具备同样的能力?如果不具备,那么以色列只需美国的物资帮助就能轻易地打败伊朗。

@Debashis Mitra
Iran can't! That's evident during Suleimani’s killing by US drone attack. They can't detect drones. May detect cruise missiles with their old Soviet era radars but can't stop/ intercept.

伊朗做不到!这在苏莱曼尼被美军无人机击杀时就很明显了。他们无法探测到无人机。可能能用他们的旧苏联时代的雷达探测到巡航导弹,但是无法阻止/拦截。

@Rachel Lee
yet all they managed to hit was the runway which was repaired by the next morning.

然而他们唯一击中的是跑道,而跑道在第二天早上就被修复了。

@Tony Ho
Mr KB, it’s alway enlightening to read your posting. Your knowledge on global geopolitics is amazing and greatly enhanced our learning of the facts of the good and bad in the very depressing world today. Thank you and keep up with your good works.

KB先生,阅读您的帖子总是很有启发。您对全球地缘政治的了解令人惊叹,极大地增强了我们对今天这个令人沮丧的世界中好与坏事实的学习。谢谢您,继续您的好工作。

@Brahmdev Daiwik
Almost all the big businesses in the world are controlled by Jews and Israel always does source money from them.Money is not an issue.The problem is military equipment drones, missiles shortage.

世界上几乎所有的大企业都由犹太人控制,以色列总是能从他们那里弄到钱。钱不是问题。问题在于军事装备,无人机和导弹短缺。
原创翻译:龙腾网 https://www.ltaaa.cn 转载请注明出处


@Gang Zhi
There are American Jews, and there are Isreal Jews, there are rich Jews, and there are poor Jews.

有美国犹太人,也有以色列犹太人,有富有的犹太人,也有贫穷的犹太人。

@Neelakantan Ramachandran
but Israel is a proxy for USA. so USA's military industry is actively supporting squirmishes around the world as they can produce more and make neat profit!.

但以色列是美国的代理人。所以美国的军事工业积极支持世界各地的小规模冲突,因为他们可以生产更多并获得可观的利润!

@Yap You Wai
but by moving more $$ to the MIC, Inflation is going to hit thru the roof? Trump can celeb PoTUS victory b4 year-end?

但是通过将更多的资金转移到军事工业复合体,通货膨胀将飙升?特朗普能在年底前庆祝总统的胜利吗?

@KJ Joseph
And also for testing the weapons of war in live scenarios …..to refine them in future escalations in the world incited by the merchants of weapons of war .

还有在真实场景中测试战争武器……以便在未来由军火商煽动的世界升级中改进它们。

@Vishwanath O
Is this another baseless fake narrative similar to “ Zelensky fled & hiding in US” story you kept on repeating on quora when Ukraine war started ?

这是另一个毫无根据的虚假叙述,类似于你在乌克兰战争开始时在Quora上不断重复的“泽连斯基逃离并藏在美国”的故事吗?
原创翻译:龙腾网 https://www.ltaaa.cn 转载请注明出处


@Cornelia
I think so. There are loads of these on quora.

我认为是的。在Quora上有很多这样的东西。

@Harshavardhana
1200 died on Oct7 and 250 to 300 soldiers in Gaza , how are you saying 2600 died? It’s 1500 na?

10月7日有1200人死亡,加沙地带有250到300名士兵,你怎么说是2600人死亡?是1500人吧?

@Anuar Osman
Numbers according to idf are not credible. The lie all the time.

根据以色列国防军数字是不可信的。他们一直在撒谎。

@Ravikumar K.
You have to die to live.

你必须置之死地而后生

@Nick Nelissen
What do you mean israel will have to listen to the US more? Netenyahu completely disregards anything biden says, israel doesnt listen to the US at all.

你说的以色列将不得不更多地听从美国是什么意思?内塔尼亚胡完全无视拜登说的任何话,以色列根本不听美国的。

@Vijaya Rajan
I guess this video says why Netanyahu thinks USA is easy to handle.

我猜这个视频说明了内塔尼亚胡为什么认为美国容易对付。

@Mani Murugesh Mk M
I don't think it'll escalate further. Let's hope for peace…

我认为事情不会进一步升级。让我们祈求和平……

@Meet Moradiya
Israel will have to face iran and Palestine but US, UK and France support Israel as open arms

以色列将不得不面对伊朗和巴勒斯坦,但是美国、英国和法国会张开双臂支持以色列。

@Siva
All big corporates lead by Israels in US .

美国的所有大公司都由以色列人领导。

@Sravan
Iran hijacked a ship, what happens if US and israel does the same to iran ships?

伊朗劫持了一艘船,如果美国和以色列对伊朗的船只做同样的事情会发生什么?

@Bertrand Fang
US did that already. I read here that US gave the Iranian weapons captured on an Iranian ship to Ukraine.

美国已经这么做了。我在这里读到,美国将从伊朗船上缴获的武器给了乌克兰。

@Philip L
Nah they would have Americans foot the bill.

不会的,他们会要美国人买单。

@Reflectio77
How many missiles we can make in a year?

我们一年能制造多少导弹?

@Goolge Ggv
Yeah Israel to hit back severely at Iran so tofu caused little damage, nothing stopping Israel no ball from striking back

是的,以色列要狠狠地回击伊朗,即使报复造成的损伤很小,没有什么能阻止以色列不回击

@Anand V
People on quora like KB think they know quite a lot about warfare and about Israel sitting in their retirement homes. This is a country which didn't lose a single aircraft when destroying 400+ and won a war against 6 countries on the go. They know what they're doing. Their country wasn't handed over to them over the peaceful death of their civilians like India. They earned it the hard way.

像KB这样的人在Quora上认为他们对战争和以色列了解很多,坐在他们的养老院里。这是一个在摧毁400多架飞机且同时对6个国家作战时没有损失一架飞机并赢得战争的国家。他们知道自己在做什么。他们的国家不是像印度那样通过他们平民的和平死亡而交给他们的。他们是艰苦赢得的。
以下是逐个评论的原文及其简体中文翻译:

@Mohd Aamir
Bruhh this ain't 1967. There's a reason why the Arabs were ready to ditch Palestine and get cozy with Isreal and US, before the Hamas attack. The thought of Iran becoming powerful sends shivers down their spine. Because Iran has a proper army and military apparatus that can actually fight and been involved in all kinds of conflicts since it's inception. Unlike the Arabs where they buy shiny equipment from the US and store it somewhere.

这不是1967年。阿拉伯人准备抛弃巴勒斯坦,与以色列和美国亲近,这是有原因的,在哈马斯攻击之前。伊朗变得强大的想法让他们不寒而栗。因为伊朗有一支真正的军队和军事机构,自成立之初就能实际参与各种冲突。不像阿拉伯人,他们从美国购买闪亮的装备然后存放在某处。

@B. Raghuram
It was the Six Day war of 1967.
First with Egypt and Syria and then with Jordan, Lebanon along with Iraq with Iraq being the farthest.

那是1967年的六日战争。
首先是与埃及和叙利亚,然后是与约旦、黎巴嫩以及伊拉克,其中伊拉克是最远的。

@Amit Kumar
Iran's destruction is inevitable by Israel and USA unless china and Russia come in full fledge to support Iran militarily.
Israil is just buying some time.

除非中国和俄罗斯全力军事支持伊朗,否则伊朗被以色列和美国毁灭是不可避免地。
以色列只是在争取时间。

@Louie
But it is acceptable for Israel to be nuclear arm state?

但对于以色列成为核武国家就是可以接受的吗?

@Akshay Metry
Iran just cannot be destroyed
USA and it's lackey Israel will think 100 times before attacking Iran

伊朗不可能被摧毁
美国及其跟班以色列在攻击伊朗前会考虑100次

@Amit Kumar
It's all depends on Iran. obxtive is to destroy just Iran's nuclear capability and give lessons to Iran's mulla govt.its better to attack Iran instead of fighting continously with her proxies for long time. U will see unimaginable response of israel very soon and the world will know first time new w…

这完全取决于伊朗。目标是摧毁伊朗的核能力并给伊朗的穆拉政府一个教训。与其长时间不断与她的代理人战斗,不如攻击伊朗。你很快就会看到以色列难以想象的回应,世界将第一次知道新的战争长什么样...

@Lewis Maina
That not a single missile or drone that hit Israel is a shame to that islamic terrorist Iran country.
Am hoping Israel hits back.

没有一枚导弹或无人机击中以色列,这对伊斯兰恐怖主义的伊朗国家来说是一种耻辱。
我希望以色列进行反击。

@Kanthaswamy Balasubramaniam
6 hit Israel
4 hit an AF base
2 hit a Docking zone at Haifa

6枚击中了以色列
4枚击中了一个空军基地
2枚击中了海法的码头区

@III Moh
Incorrect. upxe your information.

不正确。更新你的信息。

@Kiara
This is 2024, all video are on twitter. Dozens of drones landed and 7 missiles have obliterated F35 airbase

现在是2024年,所有视频都在推特上。数十架无人机着陆,7枚导弹摧毁了F35空军基地

@Aditya Mishra
Cry about it

为此哭泣吧

@Antippa Man
Kanthaswarmy is a cCCP jackass

KB是个cCCP的蠢货

@Terry Douglas
An Iranian ballistic missile is over 20 million! Iran probably fired a billion dollars worth of weapons. Next Iran will see their nuclear sites erased from earth. Billions of dollars and their navy ships become submarines.

一枚伊朗弹道导弹超过2000万!伊朗可能发射了价值10亿美元的武器。接下来伊朗将看到他们的核设施从地球上被抹去。数十亿美元和他们的海军舰艇变成了潜艇。

@Rachel Lee
No results from the war with Gaza?

与加沙的战争没有结果吗?

@KJ Joseph
“ There is always more than eyes can see in international chess games . What we see are apparent truths , actual truths remain hidden - only few players know it . “

“在国际象棋游戏中,总是有比眼睛能看到的更多的东西。我们看到的是显而易见的真相,而实际的真相仍然隐藏着——只有少数玩家知道。”

@Mosom Jana
Evening sir. I will be debunking your lies in a series of comments below this post. Stay tuned for more
The first lie I want to debunk is the following claim as made by you sir-
Israel fired 100+ Missiles today at a cost of $ 115 Million versus Iran which fired $ 9 Million worth of missiles
Analysis- What did Iran fire toward Israel today-
185 out of 185 Kamikaze Drones were shot down
103 out of 110 Ballistic Missiles were shot down
36 out of 36 Cruise Missiles were shot down
Source: An Israeli Strike On Iran Wouldn’t Be First Time Israel Attacked Iranian Soil

晚上好,先生。我将在下面的一系列评论中揭穿你的谎言。请继续关注更多内容。
我想首先揭穿你先生所提出的以下主张——
以色列今天发射了100多枚导弹,耗资1.15亿美元,而伊朗发射了价值900万美元的导弹。
分析——伊朗今天向以色列发射了什么——
185架神风无人机中有185架被击落
110枚弹道导弹中有103枚被击落
36枚巡航导弹中有36枚被击落

@Papa Mike
Interesting analysis.

有趣的分析。
原创翻译:龙腾网 https://www.ltaaa.cn 转载请注明出处


@Adnan Khan
It's not Isreal. It's USA which should be depleted, if we wish peace in the world.

不是以色列。如果我们希望世界和平,应该是美国被耗尽。

@Nandha
India will never align with anybody. But it will support for peace.

印度不会与任何人结盟。但它会支持和平。

@Amit
Sometimes I wonder if this guy pulls the numbers out of thin air. How does he know what’s the cost of Iranian missiles, and where did you get the 2600 Israelis dead number? Cmon man

有时我怀疑这家伙是不是凭空捏造数字。他怎么知道伊朗导弹的成本,还有你从哪里得到2600名以色列人死亡的数字?来吧,伙计。

@Kanthaswamy Balasubramaniam
Israel announced 1200 dead on 7/10 plus upto 600 missing including hostages
Israel paid death benefits for 574 Soldiers upto 1/2/24 .
This is public record plus available in many sources including Politico
So that's an average of 574/115 people a day * (185) = 923 people
That's
1200+600+923 = 2723

以色列宣布7月10日有1200人死亡,还有多达600人失踪,其中包括被劫持的人质。到1月2日,以色列为574名士兵支付了死亡赔偿。
这是公开记录,并且可以在许多来源中找到,包括Politico。
所以平均每天有574/115人*(185)= 923人。
总计是1200+600+923 = 2723人。

@Amit
This is why I said this guy pulls number out of thin air. 574 is casualties meaning wounded and injured. Not all dead. Only 13 soldiers have died.

这就是为什么我说他是凭空捏造数字。574是伤亡人数,意味着受伤和受伤的。并非全部死亡。只有13名士兵死亡。

@Vijaya Rajan
Maybe we should bring in Norman Finkelstein to the table.

也许我们应该把诺曼·芬克尔斯坦带到谈判桌上。

@You are too Good
Every thing is decided on one day attack! Should not we wait and see? Neither Iran nor Israel is a fool… isn't it? We could not get any outcome of Russia Ukraine war not Israel Hamas conflicts so far, but only on 1 day attack we Indians are so intelligent so come to the conclusion. It's funny.

一切都决定于一天的攻击!我们不应该等待并观察吗?伊朗和以色列都不是傻瓜……不是吗
?到目前为止,我们无法获得俄罗斯乌克兰战争或以色列哈马斯冲突的结果,但在仅仅一天的攻击后,我们印度人就如此聪明地得出了结论。真是有趣。

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