将俄罗斯排除在SWIFT之外，如何“摧毁”美元地位
正文翻译
正文：
[video]//player.bilibili.com/player.html?aid=115644427147380&bvid=BV1NqS1BbEbA&cid=34421607297[/video]
On February 26th, 2022, the US and EU cut Russia from SWIFT and froze $300 billion in reserves. It looked like the ultimate financial weapon. Russia would collapse within months. But two years later, Russia's economy is growing, the ruble recovered, and 50+ countries are now building alternatives to the dollar system.This wasn't the first time a dominant power weaponized finance. It's happened four times in the last 110 years. And every single time, the same pattern played out:Stage 1: Dominant power controls the payment system
Stage 2: Weaponizes it against enemies
Stage 3: Targets find alternatives
Stage 4: Neutral countries hedge their bets
Stage 5: The weapon loses all powerBritain did this in 1914 by freezing German assets. By 1944, the pound lost reserve currency status. 30 years from weaponization to collapse.The US weaponized SWIFT in 2022. The clock is ticking.Here's what's happening RIGHT NOW:
→ Dollar's share of global reserves dropped from 71% (1999) to 58% (2024)
→ China's CIPS system doubled from $12T to $27T in three years
→ 40% of Russian trade now settles in non-dollar currencies
→ Saudi Arabia accepts yuan for oil, breaking the 50-year petrodollar
→ Central banks bought 3,000+ tons of gold in three years (highest since 1970s)The SWIFT weapon worked tactically for 6 months. But strategically, it destroyed dollar dominance forever. Russia proved you can survive outside the system. Now everyone's building alternatives.The pattern says America has 15-25 years before the dollar loses reserve status. Not eliminated, but no longer dominant. A multipolar currency world.China wins. BRICS wins. Gold wins. America loses the ability to print unlimited money and export inflation.This is the end of dollar hegemony. Not through military defeat, but through financial suicide.
2022年2月26日，美国与欧盟将俄罗斯切断与SWIFT系统的连接，并冻结了其3000亿美元的外汇储备。这看似是终极金融武器——俄罗斯将在数月内崩溃。然而两年过去，俄罗斯经济却在增长，卢布已回升，50多个国家如今正在构建美元体系的替代方案。
这并非主导大国首次将金融武器化。在过去110年中，这种情况已发生过四次。而每一次都遵循相同的模式：
第一阶段：主导大国掌控支付系统
第二阶段：将其作为武器打击对手
第三阶段：被制裁方寻找替代方案
第四阶段：中立国家开始对冲风险
第五阶段：该武器彻底失效
1914年，英国曾冻结德国资产。到1944年，英镑便失去了全球储备货币地位——从金融武器化到体系崩溃，历时约30年。
2022年，美国对SWIFT实施武器化。倒计时已然开始。
以下正是当下正在发生的事：
1.美元在全球外汇储备中的占比从1999年的71%降至2024年的58%
2.中国人民币跨境支付系统（CIPS）三年内结算量从12万亿美元翻倍至27万亿美元
3.俄罗斯40%的贸易如今以非美元货币结算
4.沙特阿拉伯接受人民币购买石油，打破了持续50年的“石油美元”机制
5.全球央行在三年内购入超3000吨黄金（为1970年代以来最高水平）
SWIFT武器在战术上奏效了六个月，但在战略上却永远摧毁了美元的霸权地位。俄罗斯证明了脱离现有体系仍可生存，如今各国纷纷着手建立替代方案。
历史规律表明，美国还有15至25年时间，美元才会彻底失去储备货币地位——并非完全消失，而是不再占据主导。世界正迈向多极货币格局。
中国胜出，金砖国家胜出，黄金胜出。美国则丧失了无限印钞并向全球输出通胀的能力。
这标志着美元霸权的终结——并非源于军事失败，而是源于金融上的自我毁灭。
[video]//player.bilibili.com/player.html?aid=115644427147380&bvid=BV1NqS1BbEbA&cid=34421607297[/video]
On February 26th, 2022, the US and EU cut Russia from SWIFT and froze $300 billion in reserves. It looked like the ultimate financial weapon. Russia would collapse within months. But two years later, Russia's economy is growing, the ruble recovered, and 50+ countries are now building alternatives to the dollar system.This wasn't the first time a dominant power weaponized finance. It's happened four times in the last 110 years. And every single time, the same pattern played out:Stage 1: Dominant power controls the payment system
Stage 2: Weaponizes it against enemies
Stage 3: Targets find alternatives
Stage 4: Neutral countries hedge their bets
Stage 5: The weapon loses all powerBritain did this in 1914 by freezing German assets. By 1944, the pound lost reserve currency status. 30 years from weaponization to collapse.The US weaponized SWIFT in 2022. The clock is ticking.Here's what's happening RIGHT NOW:
→ Dollar's share of global reserves dropped from 71% (1999) to 58% (2024)
→ China's CIPS system doubled from $12T to $27T in three years
→ 40% of Russian trade now settles in non-dollar currencies
→ Saudi Arabia accepts yuan for oil, breaking the 50-year petrodollar
→ Central banks bought 3,000+ tons of gold in three years (highest since 1970s)The SWIFT weapon worked tactically for 6 months. But strategically, it destroyed dollar dominance forever. Russia proved you can survive outside the system. Now everyone's building alternatives.The pattern says America has 15-25 years before the dollar loses reserve status. Not eliminated, but no longer dominant. A multipolar currency world.China wins. BRICS wins. Gold wins. America loses the ability to print unlimited money and export inflation.This is the end of dollar hegemony. Not through military defeat, but through financial suicide.
2022年2月26日，美国与欧盟将俄罗斯切断与SWIFT系统的连接，并冻结了其3000亿美元的外汇储备。这看似是终极金融武器——俄罗斯将在数月内崩溃。然而两年过去，俄罗斯经济却在增长，卢布已回升，50多个国家如今正在构建美元体系的替代方案。
这并非主导大国首次将金融武器化。在过去110年中，这种情况已发生过四次。而每一次都遵循相同的模式：
第一阶段：主导大国掌控支付系统
第二阶段：将其作为武器打击对手
第三阶段：被制裁方寻找替代方案
第四阶段：中立国家开始对冲风险
第五阶段：该武器彻底失效
1914年，英国曾冻结德国资产。到1944年，英镑便失去了全球储备货币地位——从金融武器化到体系崩溃，历时约30年。
2022年，美国对SWIFT实施武器化。倒计时已然开始。
以下正是当下正在发生的事：
1.美元在全球外汇储备中的占比从1999年的71%降至2024年的58%
2.中国人民币跨境支付系统（CIPS）三年内结算量从12万亿美元翻倍至27万亿美元
3.俄罗斯40%的贸易如今以非美元货币结算
4.沙特阿拉伯接受人民币购买石油，打破了持续50年的“石油美元”机制
5.全球央行在三年内购入超3000吨黄金（为1970年代以来最高水平）
SWIFT武器在战术上奏效了六个月，但在战略上却永远摧毁了美元的霸权地位。俄罗斯证明了脱离现有体系仍可生存，如今各国纷纷着手建立替代方案。
历史规律表明，美国还有15至25年时间，美元才会彻底失去储备货币地位——并非完全消失，而是不再占据主导。世界正迈向多极货币格局。
中国胜出，金砖国家胜出，黄金胜出。美国则丧失了无限印钞并向全球输出通胀的能力。
这标志着美元霸权的终结——并非源于军事失败，而是源于金融上的自我毁灭。
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正文：
[video]//player.bilibili.com/player.html?aid=115644427147380&bvid=BV1NqS1BbEbA&cid=34421607297[/video]
On February 26th, 2022, the US and EU cut Russia from SWIFT and froze $300 billion in reserves. It looked like the ultimate financial weapon. Russia would collapse within months. But two years later, Russia's economy is growing, the ruble recovered, and 50+ countries are now building alternatives to the dollar system.This wasn't the first time a dominant power weaponized finance. It's happened four times in the last 110 years. And every single time, the same pattern played out:Stage 1: Dominant power controls the payment system
Stage 2: Weaponizes it against enemies
Stage 3: Targets find alternatives
Stage 4: Neutral countries hedge their bets
Stage 5: The weapon loses all powerBritain did this in 1914 by freezing German assets. By 1944, the pound lost reserve currency status. 30 years from weaponization to collapse.The US weaponized SWIFT in 2022. The clock is ticking.Here's what's happening RIGHT NOW:
→ Dollar's share of global reserves dropped from 71% (1999) to 58% (2024)
→ China's CIPS system doubled from $12T to $27T in three years
→ 40% of Russian trade now settles in non-dollar currencies
→ Saudi Arabia accepts yuan for oil, breaking the 50-year petrodollar
→ Central banks bought 3,000+ tons of gold in three years (highest since 1970s)The SWIFT weapon worked tactically for 6 months. But strategically, it destroyed dollar dominance forever. Russia proved you can survive outside the system. Now everyone's building alternatives.The pattern says America has 15-25 years before the dollar loses reserve status. Not eliminated, but no longer dominant. A multipolar currency world.China wins. BRICS wins. Gold wins. America loses the ability to print unlimited money and export inflation.This is the end of dollar hegemony. Not through military defeat, but through financial suicide.
2022年2月26日，美国与欧盟将俄罗斯切断与SWIFT系统的连接，并冻结了其3000亿美元的外汇储备。这看似是终极金融武器——俄罗斯将在数月内崩溃。然而两年过去，俄罗斯经济却在增长，卢布已回升，50多个国家如今正在构建美元体系的替代方案。
这并非主导大国首次将金融武器化。在过去110年中，这种情况已发生过四次。而每一次都遵循相同的模式：
第一阶段：主导大国掌控支付系统
第二阶段：将其作为武器打击对手
第三阶段：被制裁方寻找替代方案
第四阶段：中立国家开始对冲风险
第五阶段：该武器彻底失效
1914年，英国曾冻结德国资产。到1944年，英镑便失去了全球储备货币地位——从金融武器化到体系崩溃，历时约30年。
2022年，美国对SWIFT实施武器化。倒计时已然开始。
以下正是当下正在发生的事：
1.美元在全球外汇储备中的占比从1999年的71%降至2024年的58%
2.中国人民币跨境支付系统（CIPS）三年内结算量从12万亿美元翻倍至27万亿美元
3.俄罗斯40%的贸易如今以非美元货币结算
4.沙特阿拉伯接受人民币购买石油，打破了持续50年的“石油美元”机制
5.全球央行在三年内购入超3000吨黄金（为1970年代以来最高水平）
SWIFT武器在战术上奏效了六个月，但在战略上却永远摧毁了美元的霸权地位。俄罗斯证明了脱离现有体系仍可生存，如今各国纷纷着手建立替代方案。
历史规律表明，美国还有15至25年时间，美元才会彻底失去储备货币地位——并非完全消失，而是不再占据主导。世界正迈向多极货币格局。
中国胜出，金砖国家胜出，黄金胜出。美国则丧失了无限印钞并向全球输出通胀的能力。
这标志着美元霸权的终结——并非源于军事失败，而是源于金融上的自我毁灭。
[video]//player.bilibili.com/player.html?aid=115644427147380&bvid=BV1NqS1BbEbA&cid=34421607297[/video]
On February 26th, 2022, the US and EU cut Russia from SWIFT and froze $300 billion in reserves. It looked like the ultimate financial weapon. Russia would collapse within months. But two years later, Russia's economy is growing, the ruble recovered, and 50+ countries are now building alternatives to the dollar system.This wasn't the first time a dominant power weaponized finance. It's happened four times in the last 110 years. And every single time, the same pattern played out:Stage 1: Dominant power controls the payment system
Stage 2: Weaponizes it against enemies
Stage 3: Targets find alternatives
Stage 4: Neutral countries hedge their bets
Stage 5: The weapon loses all powerBritain did this in 1914 by freezing German assets. By 1944, the pound lost reserve currency status. 30 years from weaponization to collapse.The US weaponized SWIFT in 2022. The clock is ticking.Here's what's happening RIGHT NOW:
→ Dollar's share of global reserves dropped from 71% (1999) to 58% (2024)
→ China's CIPS system doubled from $12T to $27T in three years
→ 40% of Russian trade now settles in non-dollar currencies
→ Saudi Arabia accepts yuan for oil, breaking the 50-year petrodollar
→ Central banks bought 3,000+ tons of gold in three years (highest since 1970s)The SWIFT weapon worked tactically for 6 months. But strategically, it destroyed dollar dominance forever. Russia proved you can survive outside the system. Now everyone's building alternatives.The pattern says America has 15-25 years before the dollar loses reserve status. Not eliminated, but no longer dominant. A multipolar currency world.China wins. BRICS wins. Gold wins. America loses the ability to print unlimited money and export inflation.This is the end of dollar hegemony. Not through military defeat, but through financial suicide.
2022年2月26日，美国与欧盟将俄罗斯切断与SWIFT系统的连接，并冻结了其3000亿美元的外汇储备。这看似是终极金融武器——俄罗斯将在数月内崩溃。然而两年过去，俄罗斯经济却在增长，卢布已回升，50多个国家如今正在构建美元体系的替代方案。
这并非主导大国首次将金融武器化。在过去110年中，这种情况已发生过四次。而每一次都遵循相同的模式：
第一阶段：主导大国掌控支付系统
第二阶段：将其作为武器打击对手
第三阶段：被制裁方寻找替代方案
第四阶段：中立国家开始对冲风险
第五阶段：该武器彻底失效
1914年，英国曾冻结德国资产。到1944年，英镑便失去了全球储备货币地位——从金融武器化到体系崩溃，历时约30年。
2022年，美国对SWIFT实施武器化。倒计时已然开始。
以下正是当下正在发生的事：
1.美元在全球外汇储备中的占比从1999年的71%降至2024年的58%
2.中国人民币跨境支付系统（CIPS）三年内结算量从12万亿美元翻倍至27万亿美元
3.俄罗斯40%的贸易如今以非美元货币结算
4.沙特阿拉伯接受人民币购买石油，打破了持续50年的“石油美元”机制
5.全球央行在三年内购入超3000吨黄金（为1970年代以来最高水平）
SWIFT武器在战术上奏效了六个月，但在战略上却永远摧毁了美元的霸权地位。俄罗斯证明了脱离现有体系仍可生存，如今各国纷纷着手建立替代方案。
历史规律表明，美国还有15至25年时间，美元才会彻底失去储备货币地位——并非完全消失，而是不再占据主导。世界正迈向多极货币格局。
中国胜出，金砖国家胜出，黄金胜出。美国则丧失了无限印钞并向全球输出通胀的能力。
这标志着美元霸权的终结——并非源于军事失败，而是源于金融上的自我毁灭。
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