中国如何从19世纪的被征服状态发展成为全球超级大国？
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@JustinStLouis-xz7ut
Who told you that?
谁告诉你的？
@HeresMyView
@JustinStLouis-xz7ut , CNN, MSNBC, Fox, ABC, CBS, NBC,.BBC, 60 Min Australia, DW News, CNA, France 24, etc, etc. Not very long, just over 30 yrs. And, Gordon Chang since 2001. This does not include New York Times, Washington Post, Time Magazine, Reuters, Associated Press, State Dept, The Guardian, Daily News, London Times, etc, etc. They're not wrong. They just keep moving the goal post.
@JustinStLouis-xz7ut , CNN, MSNBC, Fox, ABC, CBS, NBC,.BBC, 60 Min Australia, DW News, CNA, France 24, etc, etc.。（它们这么说的）时间不算长，刚过30年。而且章家敦从2001年就开始了，这还不包括《纽约时报》、《华盛顿邮报》、《时代周刊》、路透社、美联社、美国国务院、《卫报》、《每日新闻》、《伦敦时报》等。它们没有错，它们只是一直在移动球门柱。
@HeresMyView
@JustinStLouis-xz7ut , yes, spot on
Hey, how did you know? You're so smart. They said BRICS will collapse too. Everyone said the same thing, it must be true. The latest news, Egypt is offered €7.3 billion by EU to leave BRICS. It is nice to get free money when you join BRICS. That's why other countries would like to join BRICS. Makes the offer more valuable fr non-western countries.
@JustinStLouis-xz7ut，是的，没错。
嘿，你怎么知道的？你真聪明。他们说金砖国家也会崩溃，既然大家都这么说，那肯定是真的。最新消息，欧盟向埃及提供了73亿欧元，要求其退出金砖国家组织。加入"金砖五国"还能免费拿钱，真不错。这也是其他国家愿意加入金砖国家的原因，这让非西方国家的报价更有价值。
@DailyBeatings
China
GDP Growth Rate: 5.2%
PMI: 50.90
CPI: 100.7
United States
GDP Growth Rate: 2.5%
PMI: 47.8
CPI: 311.05
US is behind in almost every macro economic metric, but somehow China is collapsing...
中国
国内生产总值增长率：5.2%
采购经理指数: 50.90
消费者物价指数：100.7
美国
国内生产总值增长率：2.5%
采购经理指数：47.8
消费者物价指数：311.05
美国几乎在所有宏观经济指标上都落后了，但不知为何中国却崩溃了......
@swiftmovers3827
@grounddove Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index. Along with every other metric including real estate data. Sounds like you get your information form the CCP network.
@grounddove 上海证券交易所综合指数以及其他所有指标（包括房地产数据）。听起来你是从中G的网络上获取信息的。
@swiftmovers3827
@IrvanAbidin-cy1lj Really? Where are all kids? Watch any video of any location in China and you will see the same thing. 1 or 2 children and 20-30 people in their 30s and 40s.It's just simple math and India will be the next hot spot for the world.
@IrvanAbidin-cy1lj 真的吗？孩子们都去哪儿了？看看中国任何地方的任何视频，你都会看到同样的情况。这只是简单的数学计算，而印度将成为世界的下一个热点。
@swiftmovers3827
@DailyBeatings The International Monetary Fund projects China's 2024 growth at 4.6%, declining towards 3.5% in 2028. GDP is in decline. India will be the next major player CCP.
@DailyBeatings 国际货币基金组织预计，中国2024年的经济增长率为4.6%，2028年将降至3.5%。中国的GDP增长率在下降，印度将成为下一个主要的参与者。
@swiftmovers3827
@HeresMyView Who said BRICS will collapse? I love a gold backed currency. Gold is real money.
@HeresMyView 谁说金砖国家会崩溃？我喜欢有黄金支持的货币，因为黄金是真正的货币。
@swiftmovers3827
@DailyBeatings I never said anything about the United States, I said that India will be the next global production power house.
@DailyBeatings 我从来没有说过美国什么，我说的是印度将成为下一个全球生产大国。
@ddcwu2515
@swiftmovers3827 yeah , CPC listen to people. because we need low price of houses. why u hate China ?
@swiftmovers3827 是的，中国***会听取人民的意见，因为我们需要低价的房子。为什么你讨厌中国？
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 India will not be the next major player due to lack of infrastructure and the majority of the population working in the informal sector. Foreign companies are not going to invest without a competent workforce, reasonable infrastructure, and inclusive government policies.
@swiftmovers3827 由于缺乏基础设施和大部分人口在非正规部门工作，印度不会成为下一个主要的参与者。如果没有合格的劳动力、合理的基础设施和包容性的政府政策，外国公司是不会投资印度的。
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 You made the claim that China's economy is a complete disaster, which is false based on comparative statistics of the US.
@swiftmovers3827 你声称中国经济是一场彻底的灾难，但根据美国的比较统计数据，这是错误的。
@swiftmovers3827
@DailyBeatings Foxconn, Apple, Samsung, Kia, Boeing, Siemens, and Toshiba to shift a significant amount of their manufacturing activity to India.
@DailyBeatings 富士康、苹果、三星、起亚、波音、西门子和东芝将大量的制造活动转移到了印度。
@swiftmovers3827
@ddcwu2515 I never said I hated China? I don't hate anyone. I'm an investor so I follow the money. Apple, Samsung, Kia, Boeing, Siemens, and Toshiba to shift a significant amount of their manufacturing activity to India, so I think this might be a continuing trend over the next 2 decades. I think that what China has done over the last 4 decades is a miracle, but everything changes, that the one constant in this world.
@ddcwu2515 我从来没有说过我讨厌中国，我不讨厌任何人。我是个投资者，所以我跟着钱走。苹果、三星、起亚、波音、西门子和东芝将大量的制造活动转移到了印度，因此我认为这可能是未来20年的一个持续的趋势。我认为中国在过去40年所做的一切是一个奇迹，但一切都在变化，这是这个世界上唯一不变的东西。
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 Apple through Foxconn closed their production in India because of 50% iPhone rejection rates. Foxconn also pulled out of a 19.5 billion joint venture deal with India's Vendanta. Others will follow suit because the business environment in the Indian market is not as profitable as in China.
@swiftmovers3827 苹果公司通过富士康关闭了在印度的生产，因为iPhone的废品率高达 50%。富士康还退出了与印度Vendanta公司价值195亿美元的合资协议。其他公司也将效仿，因为印度市场的商业环境不如中国有利可图。
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 China has economies of scale, mature and extensive supply chains, advanced infrastructure, inclusive government policies, and an educated workforce. India won't be able to replicate this any time soon.
@swiftmovers3827 中国拥有规模经济、成熟而广泛的供应链、先进的基础设施、包容的政府政策和受过良好教育的劳动力。印度在短期内无法复制。
@lipincheng
"youth unemployment rate", "record low birth rate" in the same paragraph? what in the world is it?
arguably 800 millions is about right for China and seems to be on the right path.
"青年失业率"、"创纪录的低出生率"出现在同一段中？
可以说8亿人对中国来说就差不多了，而且中国似乎走在正确的道路上。
@swiftmovers3827
@DailyBeatings Foxconn has been the leading manufacturer of iPhones in India, contributing 68% of total production. Foxconn Pumped Another $1.6 Bn Into India at the end of last year. It's not a matter of if anymore, it's only a matter of when. The shift has already started.
@DailyBeatings 富士康一直是印度iPhone的主要制造商，占其总产量的68%。去年年底，富士康又向印度投入了16亿美元。这已经不是"是与否"的问题，而是"何时"的问题了。转变已经开始。
@swiftmovers3827
@lipincheng 800 million what? China's total fertility rate, which has steadily declined from 1.5 births per woman in the late 1990s to 1.15 in 2021, is now approaching 1.0. Again I have nothing against China and hopefully they can figure this out. But my money is on India going forward.
@lipincheng 什么8亿？中国的总和生育率已从上世纪90年代末的每名妇女生育1.5个孩子稳步下降到2021年的1.15个，目前已接近1.0。我再次重申，我并不反对中国，我希望他们能解决这个问题，但我更看好印度的未来。
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 90% of all iPhones are still produced in China and Foxconn still acked out of a 19.5 billion deal in India. Matter of time? At this rate it will take 100 years to shift manufacturing if it ever occurs. China has 35% of the world's manufacturing capability while India is at 2.6%, it's not even comparable.
@swiftmovers3827 90%的iPhone仍在中国生产，富士康仍然退出了在印度的195亿美元的交易。时间问题？按照这样的速度，即使制造业发生转移，也需要100年的时间。中国的制造能力占全球的35%，而印度仅占2.6%，两者根本无法相提并论。
@lipincheng
@swiftmovers3827 Almost a third of Americans (31%) report having a net worth $0 or less, a new study finds. And for Americans 59 and older who may be contemplating retirement, 21% report that their total amount of liabilities meets or exceeds their assets, meaning a net worth $0 or less.
India is following America's path.
@swiftmovers3827 一项新的研究发现，近三分之一的美国人（31%）称自己的净资产为0美元或更少。而对于59岁及以上可能正在考虑退休的美国人来说，21%的人表示他们的负债总额达到或超过了他们的资产总额，这意味着他们的净资产为0美元或更少。
印度正在走美国的老路。
@swiftmovers3827
@lipincheng The median net worth of U.S. households is $192,900. The median net worth of a Chinese citizen is 27,273. 70% of Americans also contribute to a retirement plan or 401K with social security. That sure beats the work until you die plan in China. And considering Chinese have a birth rate of around 1% that's unfortunately going to be a future reality. India on the other had has a massive youthful population of skilled and technical workers and an exploding middle class. It has a way's to go before it overtakes China, but this will probably happen in the next 20-30 years.
@lipincheng 美国家庭净资产的中位数是192900美元，中国公民的净资产中位数为27273美元。70%的美国人还向退休计划或401K缴纳了社会保险，这肯定比中国的工作到死计划要好。考虑到中国人的出生率只有1%左右，很不幸，这将成为未来的现实。另一方面，印度拥有大量年轻的熟练技术工人和中产阶级。虽然印度要超越中国还有很长的路要走，但这很可能会在未来20-30年内实现。
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 " The government revealed in Parliament in December last year that as many as 2,783 foreign companies and their subsidiaries ceased operations in India between 2014 and November 2021." - Decoding the mystery of MNC exits from India, Ashish Kapur, Business Today, Aug 04, 2022
@swiftmovers3827 " 政府去年12月在议会透露，2014年至2021年11月期间，多达2783家外国公司及其子公司停止了在印度的业务。-《解密跨国公司退出印度之谜》，Ashish Kapur，《今日商业》，2022年8月4日
@swiftmovers3827
@DailyBeatings India’s electronics exports have surged over the past three years, jumping from about $7 billion in 2019 to $22 billion in 2023 and that number is expected to be around 40 billion in 2024.
China trade plummeted in 2023. U.S. imports of Chinese goods dropped 20 percent from 2022 levels while U.S. goods imports from India were up 16.7 percent.
Import to European countries are also seeing a rise in goods from India.
South Asian countries like India and Bangladesh are prime candidates for Chinese manufacturers to move to, thanks to their vast lands and young populations.
Moody's, the credit rating agency, cut its outlook for China to "negative." And it's facing a long-term demographic bind: a decline in the birth rate that experts say is irreversible, meaning the country is both aging and shrinking.
@DailyBeatings 印度的电子产品出口在过去三年中激增，从2019年的约70亿美元跃升至2023年的220亿美元，预计2024年这一数字将达到约400亿美元。
2023年美国对华贸易骤降。美国从中国进口的商品比2022年下降了20%，而美国从印度进口的商品则增长了16.7%。
从印度进口到欧洲国家的商品也在增加。
印度和孟加拉国等南亚国家土地辽阔、人口年轻，是中国制造商进军的首选之地。
信用评级机构穆迪将中国的前景展望降至"负面"。中国正面临着一个长期的人口问题：出生率下降，专家称这是不可逆转的，这意味着中国正在老龄化和人口萎缩。
@rap3208
@swiftmovers3827 You're an investor, do you see what i mean? YOU are a speculator, which is only really interested in the short term. The stockmarkets, you speculators just work on the short term - that is why a rumour will cause a stock to crash or just a rumor of Elon Musk taking a dump will cause their stock to go up or down depending on how you guys read it. You speculators don't deal in reality.
@swiftmovers3827 你是投资者，明白我的意思吗？你是投机者，你只对短期感兴趣。在股票市场，你们这些投机者只会在短期内运作--这就是为什么一个谣言会导致股票暴跌，或者只是一个埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）倾家荡产的谣言就会导致他们的股票上涨或下跌，这取决于你们如何解读它。你们这些投机者不了解现实。
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 "India is the graveyard of corporations" is a phrase that refers to India's history of regulating foreign companies, such as Chinese, Amazon, Walmart, Vodafone, Nokia, Samsung, and Google. These companies have faced regulatory setbacks or been subject to large fines in the Indian market." - India’s crackdown on Chinese phone makers is just the first step in its economic development strategy, Liu Zongyi, South China Morning Post, June 27, 2023
@swiftmovers3827 "印度是企业的坟墓"这句话指的是印度对中国、亚马逊、沃尔玛、沃达丰、诺基亚、三星和谷歌等外国公司的监管历史，这些公司在印度市场面临监管挫折或被处以巨额罚款"。- 印度打击中国手机制造商只是其经济发展战略的第一步，刘宗义，《南华早报》，2023年6月27日
@swiftmovers3827
@rap3208 I don't just invest in stocks, and I'm not a day trader so the short term is inconsequential. I'm looking for long term demographic shifts that reshape industry.
China is facing a long-term decline in the birth rate that experts say is irreversible, meaning the country is both aging and shrinking. India has already over taken China in population just last year. Many businesses are already focusing on places like Bangladesh, India, and Vietnam.
@rap3208 我不只投资股票，我也不是日内交易者，所以短期投资并不重要。我在寻找重塑产业的长期人口变化。
中国正面临长期的出生率下降，专家称这是不可逆转的，这意味着中国正在老龄化和萎缩。就在去年，印度的人口数量已经超过了中国。许多企业已经开始关注孟加拉国、印度和越南等地。
@rap3208
@swiftmovers3827 China planned for a century with 5 year milestones, your long term investments are that long?
@swiftmovers3827 中国的百年规划以5年为里程碑，你们的长期投资有这么长吗？
@swiftmovers3827
@rap3208 the best-laid plans of mice and men. Without children there isn't much of a future. Again, it's nothing personal. But production cannot be accomplished by a workforce of senior citizens. I'm not diminishing what China has accomplished over the last 5 decades, but to think that will go on forever with unlimited growth is foolish.
@rap3208 这是老鼠和人制定的最佳计划（出自苏格兰诗人罗伯特·彭斯的《致老鼠》）。没有孩子就没有未来。再说一遍，这不是针对你个人，但生产不可能由老年人的劳动力来完成。我并不是贬低中国在过去50年里取得的成就，但认为中国会永远这样无限制地发展下去是愚蠢的。
@lipincheng
@swiftmovers3827 "youth unemployment rate is nearing 30%" sounds like an aging problem?
@swiftmovers3827 "青年失业率接近30%"听起来像是个老龄化问题吗？
@SYL7Tube
I feel sorry for you... get out of the cave and you may see more.
我为你感到遗憾......走出山洞，你可能会看到更多。
@Balamua_banaras_wala
America has 200 mn working population China has 800mn working population ,, 4 time more working population..india has 900mn working population ,, within 5 year ,u will witness 1000mn working population in India ,,
美国有2亿劳动人口，中国有8亿劳动人口，中国的劳动人口是美国的4倍。印度有9亿劳动人口，5年内你将看到印度有10亿劳动人口。
@martintatarov7226
Although , empires usually empires do not give supremacy without a fight !!!!
然而，帝国通常不会不战而降!!!!
@ijatpingrhyb
Who will fight for USA. As a westerner me and mine won't.
谁会为美国而战？作为西方人，我和我的人都不会。
Who told you that?
谁告诉你的？
@HeresMyView
@JustinStLouis-xz7ut , CNN, MSNBC, Fox, ABC, CBS, NBC,.BBC, 60 Min Australia, DW News, CNA, France 24, etc, etc. Not very long, just over 30 yrs. And, Gordon Chang since 2001. This does not include New York Times, Washington Post, Time Magazine, Reuters, Associated Press, State Dept, The Guardian, Daily News, London Times, etc, etc. They're not wrong. They just keep moving the goal post.
@JustinStLouis-xz7ut , CNN, MSNBC, Fox, ABC, CBS, NBC,.BBC, 60 Min Australia, DW News, CNA, France 24, etc, etc.。（它们这么说的）时间不算长，刚过30年。而且章家敦从2001年就开始了，这还不包括《纽约时报》、《华盛顿邮报》、《时代周刊》、路透社、美联社、美国国务院、《卫报》、《每日新闻》、《伦敦时报》等。它们没有错，它们只是一直在移动球门柱。
@HeresMyView
@JustinStLouis-xz7ut , yes, spot on
Hey, how did you know? You're so smart. They said BRICS will collapse too. Everyone said the same thing, it must be true. The latest news, Egypt is offered €7.3 billion by EU to leave BRICS. It is nice to get free money when you join BRICS. That's why other countries would like to join BRICS. Makes the offer more valuable fr non-western countries.
@JustinStLouis-xz7ut，是的，没错。
嘿，你怎么知道的？你真聪明。他们说金砖国家也会崩溃，既然大家都这么说，那肯定是真的。最新消息，欧盟向埃及提供了73亿欧元，要求其退出金砖国家组织。加入"金砖五国"还能免费拿钱，真不错。这也是其他国家愿意加入金砖国家的原因，这让非西方国家的报价更有价值。
@DailyBeatings
China
GDP Growth Rate: 5.2%
PMI: 50.90
CPI: 100.7
United States
GDP Growth Rate: 2.5%
PMI: 47.8
CPI: 311.05
US is behind in almost every macro economic metric, but somehow China is collapsing...
中国
国内生产总值增长率：5.2%
采购经理指数: 50.90
消费者物价指数：100.7
美国
国内生产总值增长率：2.5%
采购经理指数：47.8
消费者物价指数：311.05
美国几乎在所有宏观经济指标上都落后了，但不知为何中国却崩溃了......
@swiftmovers3827
@grounddove Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index. Along with every other metric including real estate data. Sounds like you get your information form the CCP network.
@grounddove 上海证券交易所综合指数以及其他所有指标（包括房地产数据）。听起来你是从中G的网络上获取信息的。
@swiftmovers3827
@IrvanAbidin-cy1lj Really? Where are all kids? Watch any video of any location in China and you will see the same thing. 1 or 2 children and 20-30 people in their 30s and 40s.It's just simple math and India will be the next hot spot for the world.
@IrvanAbidin-cy1lj 真的吗？孩子们都去哪儿了？看看中国任何地方的任何视频，你都会看到同样的情况。这只是简单的数学计算，而印度将成为世界的下一个热点。
@swiftmovers3827
@DailyBeatings The International Monetary Fund projects China's 2024 growth at 4.6%, declining towards 3.5% in 2028. GDP is in decline. India will be the next major player CCP.
@DailyBeatings 国际货币基金组织预计，中国2024年的经济增长率为4.6%，2028年将降至3.5%。中国的GDP增长率在下降，印度将成为下一个主要的参与者。
@swiftmovers3827
@HeresMyView Who said BRICS will collapse? I love a gold backed currency. Gold is real money.
@HeresMyView 谁说金砖国家会崩溃？我喜欢有黄金支持的货币，因为黄金是真正的货币。
@swiftmovers3827
@DailyBeatings I never said anything about the United States, I said that India will be the next global production power house.
@DailyBeatings 我从来没有说过美国什么，我说的是印度将成为下一个全球生产大国。
@ddcwu2515
@swiftmovers3827 yeah , CPC listen to people. because we need low price of houses. why u hate China ?
@swiftmovers3827 是的，中国***会听取人民的意见，因为我们需要低价的房子。为什么你讨厌中国？
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 India will not be the next major player due to lack of infrastructure and the majority of the population working in the informal sector. Foreign companies are not going to invest without a competent workforce, reasonable infrastructure, and inclusive government policies.
@swiftmovers3827 由于缺乏基础设施和大部分人口在非正规部门工作，印度不会成为下一个主要的参与者。如果没有合格的劳动力、合理的基础设施和包容性的政府政策，外国公司是不会投资印度的。
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 You made the claim that China's economy is a complete disaster, which is false based on comparative statistics of the US.
@swiftmovers3827 你声称中国经济是一场彻底的灾难，但根据美国的比较统计数据，这是错误的。
@swiftmovers3827
@DailyBeatings Foxconn, Apple, Samsung, Kia, Boeing, Siemens, and Toshiba to shift a significant amount of their manufacturing activity to India.
@DailyBeatings 富士康、苹果、三星、起亚、波音、西门子和东芝将大量的制造活动转移到了印度。
@swiftmovers3827
@ddcwu2515 I never said I hated China? I don't hate anyone. I'm an investor so I follow the money. Apple, Samsung, Kia, Boeing, Siemens, and Toshiba to shift a significant amount of their manufacturing activity to India, so I think this might be a continuing trend over the next 2 decades. I think that what China has done over the last 4 decades is a miracle, but everything changes, that the one constant in this world.
@ddcwu2515 我从来没有说过我讨厌中国，我不讨厌任何人。我是个投资者，所以我跟着钱走。苹果、三星、起亚、波音、西门子和东芝将大量的制造活动转移到了印度，因此我认为这可能是未来20年的一个持续的趋势。我认为中国在过去40年所做的一切是一个奇迹，但一切都在变化，这是这个世界上唯一不变的东西。
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 Apple through Foxconn closed their production in India because of 50% iPhone rejection rates. Foxconn also pulled out of a 19.5 billion joint venture deal with India's Vendanta. Others will follow suit because the business environment in the Indian market is not as profitable as in China.
@swiftmovers3827 苹果公司通过富士康关闭了在印度的生产，因为iPhone的废品率高达 50%。富士康还退出了与印度Vendanta公司价值195亿美元的合资协议。其他公司也将效仿，因为印度市场的商业环境不如中国有利可图。
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 China has economies of scale, mature and extensive supply chains, advanced infrastructure, inclusive government policies, and an educated workforce. India won't be able to replicate this any time soon.
@swiftmovers3827 中国拥有规模经济、成熟而广泛的供应链、先进的基础设施、包容的政府政策和受过良好教育的劳动力。印度在短期内无法复制。
@lipincheng
"youth unemployment rate", "record low birth rate" in the same paragraph? what in the world is it?
arguably 800 millions is about right for China and seems to be on the right path.
"青年失业率"、"创纪录的低出生率"出现在同一段中？
可以说8亿人对中国来说就差不多了，而且中国似乎走在正确的道路上。
@swiftmovers3827
@DailyBeatings Foxconn has been the leading manufacturer of iPhones in India, contributing 68% of total production. Foxconn Pumped Another $1.6 Bn Into India at the end of last year. It's not a matter of if anymore, it's only a matter of when. The shift has already started.
@DailyBeatings 富士康一直是印度iPhone的主要制造商，占其总产量的68%。去年年底，富士康又向印度投入了16亿美元。这已经不是"是与否"的问题，而是"何时"的问题了。转变已经开始。
@swiftmovers3827
@lipincheng 800 million what? China's total fertility rate, which has steadily declined from 1.5 births per woman in the late 1990s to 1.15 in 2021, is now approaching 1.0. Again I have nothing against China and hopefully they can figure this out. But my money is on India going forward.
@lipincheng 什么8亿？中国的总和生育率已从上世纪90年代末的每名妇女生育1.5个孩子稳步下降到2021年的1.15个，目前已接近1.0。我再次重申，我并不反对中国，我希望他们能解决这个问题，但我更看好印度的未来。
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 90% of all iPhones are still produced in China and Foxconn still acked out of a 19.5 billion deal in India. Matter of time? At this rate it will take 100 years to shift manufacturing if it ever occurs. China has 35% of the world's manufacturing capability while India is at 2.6%, it's not even comparable.
@swiftmovers3827 90%的iPhone仍在中国生产，富士康仍然退出了在印度的195亿美元的交易。时间问题？按照这样的速度，即使制造业发生转移，也需要100年的时间。中国的制造能力占全球的35%，而印度仅占2.6%，两者根本无法相提并论。
@lipincheng
@swiftmovers3827 Almost a third of Americans (31%) report having a net worth $0 or less, a new study finds. And for Americans 59 and older who may be contemplating retirement, 21% report that their total amount of liabilities meets or exceeds their assets, meaning a net worth $0 or less.
India is following America's path.
@swiftmovers3827 一项新的研究发现，近三分之一的美国人（31%）称自己的净资产为0美元或更少。而对于59岁及以上可能正在考虑退休的美国人来说，21%的人表示他们的负债总额达到或超过了他们的资产总额，这意味着他们的净资产为0美元或更少。
印度正在走美国的老路。
@swiftmovers3827
@lipincheng The median net worth of U.S. households is $192,900. The median net worth of a Chinese citizen is 27,273. 70% of Americans also contribute to a retirement plan or 401K with social security. That sure beats the work until you die plan in China. And considering Chinese have a birth rate of around 1% that's unfortunately going to be a future reality. India on the other had has a massive youthful population of skilled and technical workers and an exploding middle class. It has a way's to go before it overtakes China, but this will probably happen in the next 20-30 years.
@lipincheng 美国家庭净资产的中位数是192900美元，中国公民的净资产中位数为27273美元。70%的美国人还向退休计划或401K缴纳了社会保险，这肯定比中国的工作到死计划要好。考虑到中国人的出生率只有1%左右，很不幸，这将成为未来的现实。另一方面，印度拥有大量年轻的熟练技术工人和中产阶级。虽然印度要超越中国还有很长的路要走，但这很可能会在未来20-30年内实现。
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 " The government revealed in Parliament in December last year that as many as 2,783 foreign companies and their subsidiaries ceased operations in India between 2014 and November 2021." - Decoding the mystery of MNC exits from India, Ashish Kapur, Business Today, Aug 04, 2022
@swiftmovers3827 " 政府去年12月在议会透露，2014年至2021年11月期间，多达2783家外国公司及其子公司停止了在印度的业务。-《解密跨国公司退出印度之谜》，Ashish Kapur，《今日商业》，2022年8月4日
@swiftmovers3827
@DailyBeatings India’s electronics exports have surged over the past three years, jumping from about $7 billion in 2019 to $22 billion in 2023 and that number is expected to be around 40 billion in 2024.
China trade plummeted in 2023. U.S. imports of Chinese goods dropped 20 percent from 2022 levels while U.S. goods imports from India were up 16.7 percent.
Import to European countries are also seeing a rise in goods from India.
South Asian countries like India and Bangladesh are prime candidates for Chinese manufacturers to move to, thanks to their vast lands and young populations.
Moody's, the credit rating agency, cut its outlook for China to "negative." And it's facing a long-term demographic bind: a decline in the birth rate that experts say is irreversible, meaning the country is both aging and shrinking.
@DailyBeatings 印度的电子产品出口在过去三年中激增，从2019年的约70亿美元跃升至2023年的220亿美元，预计2024年这一数字将达到约400亿美元。
2023年美国对华贸易骤降。美国从中国进口的商品比2022年下降了20%，而美国从印度进口的商品则增长了16.7%。
从印度进口到欧洲国家的商品也在增加。
印度和孟加拉国等南亚国家土地辽阔、人口年轻，是中国制造商进军的首选之地。
信用评级机构穆迪将中国的前景展望降至"负面"。中国正面临着一个长期的人口问题：出生率下降，专家称这是不可逆转的，这意味着中国正在老龄化和人口萎缩。
@rap3208
@swiftmovers3827 You're an investor, do you see what i mean? YOU are a speculator, which is only really interested in the short term. The stockmarkets, you speculators just work on the short term - that is why a rumour will cause a stock to crash or just a rumor of Elon Musk taking a dump will cause their stock to go up or down depending on how you guys read it. You speculators don't deal in reality.
@swiftmovers3827 你是投资者，明白我的意思吗？你是投机者，你只对短期感兴趣。在股票市场，你们这些投机者只会在短期内运作--这就是为什么一个谣言会导致股票暴跌，或者只是一个埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）倾家荡产的谣言就会导致他们的股票上涨或下跌，这取决于你们如何解读它。你们这些投机者不了解现实。
@DailyBeatings
@swiftmovers3827 "India is the graveyard of corporations" is a phrase that refers to India's history of regulating foreign companies, such as Chinese, Amazon, Walmart, Vodafone, Nokia, Samsung, and Google. These companies have faced regulatory setbacks or been subject to large fines in the Indian market." - India’s crackdown on Chinese phone makers is just the first step in its economic development strategy, Liu Zongyi, South China Morning Post, June 27, 2023
@swiftmovers3827 "印度是企业的坟墓"这句话指的是印度对中国、亚马逊、沃尔玛、沃达丰、诺基亚、三星和谷歌等外国公司的监管历史，这些公司在印度市场面临监管挫折或被处以巨额罚款"。- 印度打击中国手机制造商只是其经济发展战略的第一步，刘宗义，《南华早报》，2023年6月27日
@swiftmovers3827
@rap3208 I don't just invest in stocks, and I'm not a day trader so the short term is inconsequential. I'm looking for long term demographic shifts that reshape industry.
China is facing a long-term decline in the birth rate that experts say is irreversible, meaning the country is both aging and shrinking. India has already over taken China in population just last year. Many businesses are already focusing on places like Bangladesh, India, and Vietnam.
@rap3208 我不只投资股票，我也不是日内交易者，所以短期投资并不重要。我在寻找重塑产业的长期人口变化。
中国正面临长期的出生率下降，专家称这是不可逆转的，这意味着中国正在老龄化和萎缩。就在去年，印度的人口数量已经超过了中国。许多企业已经开始关注孟加拉国、印度和越南等地。
@rap3208
@swiftmovers3827 China planned for a century with 5 year milestones, your long term investments are that long?
@swiftmovers3827 中国的百年规划以5年为里程碑，你们的长期投资有这么长吗？
@swiftmovers3827
@rap3208 the best-laid plans of mice and men. Without children there isn't much of a future. Again, it's nothing personal. But production cannot be accomplished by a workforce of senior citizens. I'm not diminishing what China has accomplished over the last 5 decades, but to think that will go on forever with unlimited growth is foolish.
@rap3208 这是老鼠和人制定的最佳计划（出自苏格兰诗人罗伯特·彭斯的《致老鼠》）。没有孩子就没有未来。再说一遍，这不是针对你个人，但生产不可能由老年人的劳动力来完成。我并不是贬低中国在过去50年里取得的成就，但认为中国会永远这样无限制地发展下去是愚蠢的。
@lipincheng
@swiftmovers3827 "youth unemployment rate is nearing 30%" sounds like an aging problem?
@swiftmovers3827 "青年失业率接近30%"听起来像是个老龄化问题吗？
@SYL7Tube
I feel sorry for you... get out of the cave and you may see more.
我为你感到遗憾......走出山洞，你可能会看到更多。
@Balamua_banaras_wala
America has 200 mn working population China has 800mn working population ,, 4 time more working population..india has 900mn working population ,, within 5 year ,u will witness 1000mn working population in India ,,
美国有2亿劳动人口，中国有8亿劳动人口，中国的劳动人口是美国的4倍。印度有9亿劳动人口，5年内你将看到印度有10亿劳动人口。
@martintatarov7226
Although , empires usually empires do not give supremacy without a fight !!!!
然而，帝国通常不会不战而降!!!!
@ijatpingrhyb
Who will fight for USA. As a westerner me and mine won't.
谁会为美国而战？作为西方人，我和我的人都不会。
