网友讨论:下一个亚洲经济强国是哪一个国家?
2022-08-12 squart 15857
正文翻译

When you hear economic superpowers, you will probably think about the United States, China, Germany, or Japan.
But not too long from now, you will have different opinions. And this would be due to the new rising economic powers.

当你听到人们说起经济超级大国的时候,你可能会想到美国、中国、德国或日本。
但不久以后,你可能会有不同的看法,而这,则是因为一些新兴的经济强国。

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Vietnam

越南

The economy of Vietnam is a socialist-oriented market economy, which is the 44th-largest in the world as measured by GDP. But If we want to know the future of any nation then first we have to look at its history.
So Vietnam has a long history of wars and distraction. Due to this Vietnam lost its factories, cities, and countless citizens. Plus Vietnam is a communist country and it followed the Soviet-era economic model. For a long time, they did not see any economic growth.
All this started to change from 1986 when Vietnam launched the Doi moi policy.
Vietnam economically moved very fast after suffering for years from the war tragedy. This economic miracle of Vietnam is based on manufacturing, which was boosted by trade liberalization, domestic deregulation, and investment in human and physical capital.
And now after this pandemic, Vietnam has a high chance of attracting investments. As they can provide similar facilities like China. So, this could become a game changer for Vietnam.

越南经济是社会主义市场经济,按国内生产总值计算,越南是世界第44大经济体。但是,如果我们想知道任何一个国家的未来,那么我们首先要看看它的历史。
越南有着长久的战争和分裂的历史,越南因为这些战争和分裂,损失了工厂、城市和无数的人民。另外,越南是一个共产主义国家,它遵循苏联时代的经济模式。在很长一段时间里,它们没有体现出任何的经济增长。
但这一切,从1986年越南实行经济改革开始发生变化。
在经历了多年的战争悲剧之后,越南的经济发展非常迅速。越南的这一经济奇迹是建立在制造业的基础上的,而制造业是由贸易自由化、国内放松管制以及人力和物质资本投资推动的。
现在,在这场疫情之后,越南吸引投资的机会很大。他们可以像中国一样提供类似的基础设施。所以,这可能会改变越南的游戏规则。

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India

印度

After the end of British rule, India followed the Soviet economic model with a protectionists policy for economic growth. But after the fall of the soviet unx in 1991, India switched to a capitalist economy. After that India's GDP almost doubled every 5 years.
Today the major contributors of the Indian economy are the service sector, industry, and agriculture.
India has a huge local market and its labor cost is also less compared to other countries. And this could attract huge investments in the coming time.
Although problems like social and political unrest, lack of Infrastructure, Wealth inequality, and Bad economic policies of the government, could resist investors.

英国统治结束后,印度效仿苏联的经济模式,实行保护主义的经济增长政策。但1991年苏联解体后,印度转向资本主义经济。此后,印度的国内生产总值几乎每5年翻一番。
今天,印度经济的主要贡献来源于服务业、工业和农业。
印度拥有巨大的国内市场,其劳动力成本也比其他国家低,这将在未来吸引大量的投资。
但印度仍然存在社会和政治动荡、基础设施缺乏、贫富不均以及政府糟糕的经济政策等问题,这可能会阻碍投资者进入。

Philippines

菲律宾

Philippines economy is driven by its service, industrial and agriculture sector. Mainly the service sector. This sector accounts for 60% of the country's GDP and 56% of employment today. The country's professionals speak necessary languages, in addition they have less wages than the western countries. Also the country's average age is 25 years. That means more people available to work.
Hence this makes Philippines one of the largest business process outsourcing country.
Apart from this the Philippines government is trying attract foreign direct investments. Several economic zones are already active and have attracted investments.
Yet the agriculture which once accounted for one third of Philippines GDP, went down to 9% in 2018. Yet government is making efforts to make that stable again. As to grow in faster, the balanced combination of agriculture, services and industry is required.

菲律宾的经济由服务业、工业和农业部门驱动,主要驱动力是服务业,这个行业占到了国家GDP的60%,占到了今天就业的56%。这个国家的人民可以说英语,而且他们的工资比西方国家低。此外,该国的平均人口年龄是25岁,这意味着有更多的人可以工作。
因此,菲律宾成为世界上最大的业务外包国家之一。
除此之外,菲律宾政府正试图吸引外国直接投资,国内的几个经济区域已经活跃起来,并吸引来了投资。
然而,一度占菲律宾GDP三分之一的农业,在2018年占GDP比重下降到了9%。不过政府正在努力使这一状况再次稳定。要加快经济增长,就必须实现农业、服务业和工业的平衡发展。

Malaysia

马来西亚

The economy of Malaysia is the third largest in Southeast Asia. Today manufacturing sector and service sector of Malaysia is largest contributor to its economy. The share of GDP of manufacturing sector peaked at close to 31% in 1999. Thereafter, it declined almost continuously every year.
The services sector's share of the GDP has gradually increased from 32% in 1974 to 53% in 2016. Malaysia is strategically situated between Singapore and Thailand. Due to that Malaysia provides the perfect investment opportunity for foreign businesses while promoting convenient access to other expanding markets within Asia.
Through with continued technological development and infrastructure growth, Malaysia could emerge as economic superpower.

马来西亚是东南亚第三大经济体。今天,马来西亚的制造业和服务业是其经济的最大贡献者。制造业占国内生产总值的比重,在1999年达到了接近31%的峰值。但此后,这一比重几乎每年都在下降。
服务业占国内生产总值的比重,从1974年的32%,逐步上升到2016年的53%。马来西亚地理位置优越,位于新加坡和泰国之间。因此,马来西亚为外国企业提供了绝佳的投资机会,同时也(为外国企业)提供了进入亚洲其他扩张市场的便利。
通过持续的技术发展和基础设施建设,马来西亚可能会成为经济超级大国。

Indonesia

印度尼西亚

The economy of Indonesia is the largest in Southeast Asia and is one of the emerging market economies of the world. Indonesia has made enormous gains in poverty reduction, cutting the poverty rate by more than half since 1999. The country hasn't suffered negative GDP growth since 1998.
Indonesia's economy is based on trade, manufacturing, and services.
Manufacturing contributes 20 percent of Indonesia's GDP.
Yet the economic growth of Indonesia is lower than expected from past few years. The large and growing population is major advantage for Indonesia. As this could attract foreign investors. But this could happen only if infrastructure improvements are made to promote higher GDP growth.
And this will help Indonesia to get out of the middle income trap. And rise as a economic power.

印度尼西亚是东南亚最大的经济体,也是世界新兴市场经济体之一。印度尼西亚在减贫方面取得了巨大成就,自1999年以来,该国将贫困率降低了一半以上,自1998年以来,该国没有出现过国内生产总值负增长。
印度尼西亚的经济以贸易、制造业和服务业为基础。
制造业占印度尼西亚国内生产总值的20%。
是的,过去几年印度尼西亚的经济增长低于预期,但庞大且不断增长的人口数量,是印度尼西亚的主要优势,因为这样可以吸引外国投资者。但这只有在改善基础设施,以促进更高的GDP增长的情况下才能实现。
而且这将有助于印度尼西亚走出中等收入陷阱,作为一个经济强国崛起。

评论翻译
Wonderful City
Hii,
I'm from indonesia, i hope ASEAN will become global economic power.
We are ASEAN ��������������������
(Edit)Just info:
ASEAN is an Association Of Southeast Asian Nations

嗨,
我来自印度尼西亚,我希望东盟成为全球经济强权。
我们是东盟!
东盟是东南亚国家的联盟!

Abhishek Rajput
Love and respect to all countries from IN

来自印度,热爱并尊重以上所有国家。

Bhatiaji company
Vietnam and Philippines great country want to visit there
Love from india�

越南和菲律宾是伟大的国家,想去那里旅游!
来自印度的爱!

Rio ARSYA
Viewers
70% Philippines
15% India
15% Other countries

观看者:
70%的菲律宾人,
15%的印度人。
15%的其他国家的人。

Muhidden Misbak
ASEAN will be the next superpower after EU

东盟会成为继欧盟之后的另一个超级强权。

C A R L C A R L
Its ok for me even if the philippines dont become a superpower as long as the cetizens can live comfortably

对我来说,即使菲律宾不能成为超级大国也没事的,只要人民能过上舒适的生活就好。

Aaron De Guzman
Its kinda slow progression right now since pandemic situation
Well lets see what will shape these said countries after the pandemic

自从疫情以来,发展缓慢!
好吧,让我们看看在疫情之后,这些国家会发生什么样的变化!

lexinuk
Best wishes to Indonesia from Thailand ❤️

从泰国向印度尼西亚致以最良好的祝愿!

Fakhruddin
Looks like Malaysia is transitioning to service industries. Sectors like tourism is big in Malaysia. It is the 3rd largest sector pre pandemic. I hope post pandemic, the sector will recover fast. Health tourism is also increasing. Many Indonesian come to Malaysia for getting treatment. We got the reputation for cheap and world class healthcare system.
Manufacturing was big during the 90s, because back then our labour market is cheap. It attracted a lot of Japanese company to open factories in Malaysia. Nowadays it is getting smaller and service industries getting larger. But manufacturing is still contributed more than 20% of our GDP. Vietnam is like Malaysia during the 90s. Many big international companies wants to capitalize on Vietnam's cheap labour. Big companies also start to get out of China, and Vietnam may benefit from this.
Indonesia will be a one of the Asian giant. I hope the infrastructure drive in Jokowi's era will unleash Indonesia true potential. Investment is needed for Indonesia to capitalize on their large population. Education is the key here. Many skilled labour is needed to make Indonesia a developed nation.

看来马来西亚正在向服务业转型。像旅游业这样的行业,对马来西亚非常重要。旅游业在疫情之前,是该国的第三大经济产业。我希望在疫情之后,这个行业能够迅速恢复过来。医疗旅游也在增加之中,很多印度尼西亚人来马来西亚看病治疗,我们以廉价和世界一流的医疗体系而闻名。
90年代马来西亚的制造业规模很大,因为那时我们的劳动力市场很便宜,吸引了很多日本公司在马来西亚开设工厂。现在制造业比重越来越小,服务业比重越来越大,但制造业仍占我国GDP的20%以上。越南就像90年代的马来西亚,很多大型跨国公司都希望利用越南廉价的劳动力,大的公司也开始走出中国,越南可能会从中受益。
印度尼西亚将成为亚洲巨人之一。我希望佐科时代的基础设施建设,能释放印尼真正的潜力。印尼需要投资利用其庞大的人口,教育是其中的关键。要使印度尼西亚成为一个发达国家,需要很多熟练的劳动力。

原创翻译:龙腾网 https://www.ltaaa.cn 转载请注明出处


Griffin Wale
Vietnam is leaning towards Manufacturing while Philippines is leaning towards Services.

越南倾向于制造业,而菲律宾则倾向于服务业。

Alex B D
I hope all Asian countries help each other to uplift our regional economy, otherwise, we will just a modern servant of Europeans and US. I hope China and India resolve their territorial war! The Asian continent as a whole has had enough resources to drive and gain momentum to transform our continent into a progressive land. By history, before colonial Asia was economically wealthy.

我希望所有亚洲国家都能互相帮助,促进我们地区经济的发展,否则,我们将成为欧洲人和美国人的现代仆人。我希望中国和印度解决他们的领土争端!亚洲大陆作为一个整体,已经有足够的资源来推动发展和获得动力,把我们的大陆变成一个进步的大陆。从历史上看,在殖民地时代之前,亚洲经济是富裕的。

Dean Tan
When i see Philippines, I click like

当我看到菲律宾,我点击了喜欢(视频)!

E
Really happy to see a lot of Southeast Asian growing fast right now, we always been underestimated by Western, Europe, even East Asian.

真的很高兴看到很多东南亚国家现在正在迅速发展,我们总是被西方国家,欧洲,甚至是东亚国家轻视。

Nii-chan
From Sick Man of Asia to Rising Tiger of Asia.

从病夫到崛起的亚洲之虎!

PareCoy
Philippines is growing so fast because of Japan, Russia and USA. Japan is helping us on Technology, Transportation and adding Factories, Russia is helping us on Military and USA is boosting our Economy. We are getting help from strong countries even india have a great relationship until now. We hate china but they are in a good relationship with our government.

由于日本、俄罗斯和美国的帮助,菲律宾的经济增长如此之快。日本在技术、运输和开设工厂方面帮助我们,俄罗斯在军事方面帮助我们,美国正在促进我们的经济发展。我们得到了强大国家的帮助,即使是印度,现在也和我们有着良好的关系。我们讨厌中国,但他们与我们的政府关系很好。
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agspeedy gonzalez
Indonesia will be the largest in SE Asia... But really depends on policy and political stability.

印度尼西亚将是东南亚最大的经济体.......但这真的取决于政策和政治稳定。

Rahul Sanatani
To be true India has full capacity to become economic & military superpower.
& it will be good for south-east asia nations & whole Asia,as India is democracy,& can help ASEAN in security/industry etc.

事实上,印度有足够的潜力成为经济和军事超级大国。
而且这将有利于东南亚国家和整个亚洲,因为印度是民主国家,可以在安全和工业等方面帮助东盟。

arbela
Mostly from ASEAN country...ASEAN Will be like Europe...I'am from Indonesia ���

大部分国家都是东盟国家......东盟会像欧盟一样的....我来自印度尼西亚。

Hawa Ahmad
Due to the pandemic, its very unpredictable now who will be the superpower in Asia.
I think the country that recovers first will have the advantage of championing in this race ...
So good luck everyone.

由于疫情的原因,现在很难预测谁将成为亚洲的超级大国。
我认为首先复苏的国家将有优势,将会在这场比赛中获胜。
祝大家好运。

Griffin Wale
Vietnam and Philippines economy are growing so fast!
Warning: Jealous Malaysians in the reply section!

越南和菲律宾的经济增长如此之快!
警告:嫉妒的马来西亚人在评论回复区!

Raziul Abrar KhonDaker
Good luck Indonesia, Malaysia, india, Thailand, Philippine from Bangladesh ��
We are also coming. Overpopulation is our main problem. Hopefully we will develop our people & make them our strength।

印度尼西亚、马来西亚、印度、泰国、菲律宾,祝你们好运!来自孟加拉国的问候!
我们也来了!人口过多是我们的主要问题,希望我们能培训我们的人民,让他们成为我们的优势!

原创翻译:龙腾网 https://www.ltaaa.cn 转载请注明出处


Aldro YT
Philippines will be like Israel in the time of King Solomon.

菲律宾将像所罗门王时代的以色列一样。

The third eye
I believe all the countries should develop.

我相信所有的国家都应该发展。

IG Asep
ASEAN can be world super power as a nations community just like previously EU ever did

东盟可以像之前的欧盟一样,成为世界超级大国!

м α в υ н α у
Fun fact:
Vietnam started to rise in 1986
Philippines started to fall down in 1986

有趣的事实:
越南在1986年开始崛起。
菲律宾在1986年开始衰落。
歌叶

To be honest, apart from Vietnam, none of these countries will become economic powers. India will only become a big economic country, but it has no potential to become a powerful country

老实说,除了越南,这些国家都不会成为经济强国,印度只会成为一个经济大国,但它没有成为强国的潜力。
原创翻译:龙腾网 https://www.ltaaa.cn 转载请注明出处


シシしJuanNguyen
Vietnam have changed so fast!

越南变化太快了!

NanYueEmpire
Vietnam without any doubt

越南毫无疑问是的!

huy nguyen
You should remember that Vietnam was embargoed by the US, until 1995 it was fully traded, that why the current index are still lower than some countries in Southeast Asia,

你们应该记得,越南被美国禁运,直到1995年,才能完全开展贸易,所以现在越南的各项指数仍然低于东南亚其他一些国家。

Sky Grey
India and Vietnam both have the best chance to succeed.
India because of its massive population. Everyone speaks English.
Vietnam because of the resiliency of its people and because of its Chinese roots. However, unlike other ASEAN countries, Vietnam economies are not ran by ethnic Chinese. So it’s a lot more stable politically.

印度和越南都有最好的成功机会。
因为印度人口众多,每个人都说英语。
因为越南人民的韧性以及它的中国起源。然而,与其他东盟国家不同的是,越南经济并非由华裔掌控,所以政治上要稳定得多。

Robert Weide
Philippines is like the Human Resource Capital of the world. There are even working Filipinos in North Korea

菲律宾就像世界的人力资源之都,甚至在朝鲜,都有菲律宾人在那里工作。

Kunta Wijaya
Indonesia have long way to go, there so much need to improve. But i think we walk in right track, but i am not sure if it fast enough.

印尼还有很长的路要走,还有很多需要改进的地方。但我认为我们走在正确的轨道上了,不过我不确定我们的发展是否足够快。

derrickg91
develop “sustainably” is the keyword.

“可持续发展”是关键词。
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Ivan Caesar Rota
Philippines will rise in 2025 by prediction

据预测,菲律宾将在2025年崛起。

Esa Shaik
Indonesia has made a lot of infrastructure improvement under Jokowi.

印尼在佐科执政期间,进行了大量的基础设施改善工作。

AMM0beatz
Vietnams TECH industry is going to skyrocket, the gov has done a superb job on investing on its people.

越南的科技产业正在飞速发展,政府在投资于本国人民方面做得非常出色。

ABID HOSSAIN SAYKAT
Here should comes the name of Asian emerging tiger Bangladesh.

这里应该有亚洲新兴老虎孟加拉国的名字。

GeorgeTV
Advantage of Philippines and India can speak English very well. Easy to communicate so that the investors can communicate well.

菲律宾和印度的优势是英语讲得很好,易于交流,便于投资者沟通。

iPhamous X
East Asia and ASEAN must unite to dethrone the west/Anglosphere

东亚和东盟必须联合起来,干翻西方国家和英语圈国家。

Mn N
Dude indonesia is already become G20..... hopefully we’re going to be the next in 2030 ✨✨✨

伙计,印度尼西亚已经是20国集团成员了......希望我们能在2030年成为G20的下一个成员国家。

inaki Bhattacharya
1. Nobody should blindly follow western model. Agriculture is always the FOUNDATION of an economy. Stronger the foundation, sturdier the structure. Otherwise, the structure may turn out to be a house of cards after some time. Look at the condition of the city locked people in USA now. The people are standing in food lines.
2. Let me talk of my country India. India has huge huge agricultural potential. Inspite of having 1.36 billion population today, India can feed entire Arab and Europe, after feeding its own people, if agriculture gets proper attention which, unfortunately, is still lacking. It is good, 50% of India's population still lives in rural areas and is engaged in broad agriculture and in related activities. This percentage should not decrease.

1、任何国家都不应该盲目效仿西方的模式。农业始终是经济的基础,基础牢固,结构就坚固。否则,过一段时间之后,这座建筑可能会变成一座纸牌屋。看看现在美国城锁下人民的状况吧,人们在排队等待食物。
2、让我谈谈我的国家印度。如果农业得到适当的重视,尽管今天的印度有13.6亿人口,印度仍然有巨大的农业潜力,在养活本国人民之后,还可以养活整个阿拉伯和欧洲,但不幸的是,印度的农业仍然缺乏重视。印度50%的人口仍然生活在农村地区,广泛从事农业和相关的活动,这个百分比不应该降低。

Asif Saif Uddin
How a country like India come to this list while their per capita income and GDP is lower than neighbors? to be a economic power India need to make its per capita GDP better than Srilanka, Bangladesh etc south asan countris first.

像印度这样的国家,是如何在人均收入和国内生产总值低于邻国的情况下,进入这一名单的?印度要想成为一个经济强国,首先要使其人均国内生产总值超过斯里兰卡、孟加拉国等南亚国家。

Nathan Himlesh
I am an Indian....and I am giving my vote to vietnam coz of its location....

我是印度人...我会投票给越南,因为它的地理位置。

brian jones
I found this information very helpful....i have been watching the shift from china manufacturing to other countries...i can only hope that theses other countries like Vietnam takes the manufacturing from China a
And quality of finished products is of a higher standard then what China sells to other countries.....i hope for better product from countries other then China.....

我发现这些信息非常有用....我一直在关注中国的制造业向其他国家的转移....我只希望越南等其他国家能从中国获得制造业转移。
而且产品质量比中国向其他国家销售的产品标准更高....我希望从其他国家得到更好的产品,而不是中国。

99 recruitor
Vietnam has the greatest potential among those countries. Firstly, because it is same as China, which is a socialist country, which means the government has complete control over the policy, and be able to make long term plan,that makes the society very stable for the investors. Secondly, Vietnam has a similar culture of east asia where The people are very industrious and hard working, Talk less do more, Claim less , contribute more.

在这些国家中,越南的潜力最大。首先,因为它和中国一样,是社会主义国家,政府对政策有完全的控制权,并且能够制定长期的计划,对投资者而言,这是一个非常稳定(值得投资)的社会。其次,越南有着与东亚相似的文化,那里的人民非常勤劳、少说话多做事,少索取,多贡献。

fan yang
I am glad to see Asian countries become poverful. love my Asian brother and sister from China.

我很高兴看到亚洲国家变得强大。我爱我们的亚洲兄弟姐妹们,来自中国的问候。

Aryanri Jambak
Malaysia will be next economic powerhouse in asia within the next decade

马来西亚将在未来十年内,成为亚洲下一个经济强国。
原创翻译:龙腾网 https://www.ltaaa.cn 转载请注明出处


Divyajyoti Basumatary
We could have seen more rapid economic growth in Asia if there was no conflict.

如果不发生冲突,我们本可以看到亚洲经济增长更快。

Vince Aguirre
Philippines has a loooooooong way to go.

菲律宾还有很长的路要走。

2 AKASH KUMAR VERMA
India will be an $8 Trillion economy upto 2030

到2030年,印度的经济规模将达到8万亿美元

Master Wong
I say Vietnam is the most posible nation to become next manufacturing economic power,the rest i did'nt see any hope!

我会说越南是最有可能成为下一个制造业经济强国的国家,而其他几个国家,我不觉得他们有任何希望!

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