地缘政治地震：中国的钨出口禁令震动全球市场
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@YTad2
It just dawned on me why Donald Trump loves Russia and China so much… It’s the color red. The Chinese flag is almost all red… When he thinks of Russia, he probably still thinks of the Soviet unx and that flag was almost all red. There’s Red Square in Moscow. Red is associated with Communism or socialism in almost every part of the world, except apparently the United States. So, he envisions red and thinks oh they’re Republican.
我突然明白为什么唐纳德·特朗普如此喜欢俄罗斯和中国……是因为红色。中国国旗几乎全是红色……当他想到俄罗斯时，他可能仍然会想到苏联，而那面国旗也几乎全是红色。莫斯科有红场。红色在世界几乎每个地方都与共产主义或社会主义联系在一起，除了美国。所以，他想象红色并认为哦，他们是共和党人。
@dennyliu7494
American politicians never learn from history. Both Trump and Biden forget that one of the major triggers for the Great Depression of 1929-1933 was the imposition of heavy tariffs against major trading partners - the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act passed on 17 June 1930. If Trump continues his tariff plans, we shall see a great disruption of world economic order, and probably cause a depression in the whole world.
美国政客从不从历史中学习。特朗普和拜登都忘记了1929-1933年大萧条的主要触发因素之一是对主要贸易伙伴征收重税——1930年6月17日通过的斯姆特-霍利关税法。如果特朗普继续他的关税计划，我们将看到世界经济秩序的巨大破坏并可能引发全球萧条。
@Becks071
These tariffs are putting so many small businesses out of business. I know one guy who does spray foam insulation. He said even a small increase in costs would put him under. The majority of his supplies come from Canada and he said people just cannot afford to pay more to keep him going. We will all feel this regardless of income.
这些关税正在使许多小企业倒闭。我认识一个做喷涂泡沫绝缘的人，他说即使是微小的成本增加也会让他倒闭。他的大部分供应来自加拿大，他说人们无法支付更多的钱来维持他的生意。无论收入如何，我们都会感受到这一点。
@bw2442
When you move to another country away from the USA you begin to realize how hyper-military the USA is, it’s woven into the fabric of our society, the video game ads showing people getting shot, blown up, bleeding everywhere, war movies showing snipers killing, explosions, death, carnage, solving every problem with a swat team or special forces. I know the military is needed but imo this is way overkill. 800 bases everywhere really. I think this posture and cowboy attitude drowns out what we used to be before WW1, a peace-loving nation that had a message of goodwill towards men and ready to bring peace. It’s obvious how far from the mark we’ve fallen when you live in 3rd world nations where they are still people-centered instead of money or military-centered. If you live by the sword you die by the sword.
当你搬到另一个国家远离美国时，你会开始意识到美国是多么的军事化，它已经融入了我们社会的结构。电子游戏广告中人们被枪击、爆炸、到处流血，战争电影中狙击手杀人、爆炸、死亡、大屠杀，用特警队或特种部队解决每一个问题。虽然我知道军队是必要的，但在我看来，这太过分了。美国确实在全世界有800个基地。我认为这种姿态和牛仔态度淹没了我们在一战前的样子：一个热爱和平，向人们传递善意并准备带来和平的国家。当你生活在第三世界国家时，你会发现很明显我们已经偏离了目标，而那里仍然以人为本，而不是以金钱或军事为中心。如果你靠剑生活，你会死于剑下。
@basque888
Data for 2024:
China's export was 20% of total GDP.
China's exports to the US was 14% of all exports.
So, in 2024 China's exports to the US was only 2.8% of China's total GDP.
The idea that China needs the US market, as much as the Americans think needs to be reassessed.
2024年的数据：
中国的出口占GDP的20%。
中国对美国的出口占所有出口的14%。
因此，2024年中国对美国的出口仅占中国GDP的2.8%。
正如美国人所认为的那样，中国需要美国市场的想法需要重新评估。
@lmrony
Tariffs will hurt America but will only cause a small dent to China. Nobody wins in a trade war or any war, but in this case, China trades with almost every country & not trading with the USA is no big deal but the US consumer will definitely feel the effect as most of the items they buy actually are made in China & therefore a direct hit to their spending power.
关税会伤害美国，但只会对中国造成小的影响。在贸易战或任何战争中没有人是赢家，但在这种情况下，中国几乎与每个国家都有贸易往来，不与美国贸易并不是什么大事，但美国消费者肯定会感受到影响，因为他们购买的大多数商品实际上是中国制造的，因此会直接打击他们的消费能力。
@champ8605
I think the point not often made is that all the manufacturing equipment needed to kickstart manufacturing in America will be from China.
我认为一个不常被提及的观点是启动美国制造业所需的所有制造设备都将来自中国。
@alexisglaab2572
You know you can just build your own stuff, right? From the ground up, it is the most expensive way to establish industrial infrastructure, but maybe it NEEDS to be done. Over-reliance on China has utterly fucked over American production. BUT you can just build new stuff. This mentality of only ever buying premade stuff to save money is part of the problem. You really DO got to spend money before you can make it.
你知道你可以自己建造东西，对吧？从头开始，这是建立工业基础设施最昂贵的方式，但也许这是必须的。过度依赖中国已经彻底搞砸了美国的工业，但你可以建造新的东西。这种只购买预制物品以节省钱的心态是问题的一部分，你确实必须先花钱才能赚钱。
@champ8605
I take it you haven't really built anything? You realize to build machinery takes parts from all over the world right? Raw materials come from all over the world. To build a factory requires an enormous amount of planning, finding the land, purchasing the land, approvals, finding a contractor capable of the project, planning the equipment, finding the materials needed and so much more. It's not a matter of hey we will start making our own things let's build a factory. It will take years to even start producing anything let alone start to turn a profit. How many companies will want to sink millions when the next administration could reverse the tariffs? Oh but it just means we produce from existing factories and plants, yeah then those companies will price gouge because they can. If companies wanted to manufacture in America they already would, yet they outsource because of profits. Trump outsourced to China himself and even talked openly about it.
我想你还没有真正建造过任何东西吧？你意识到建造机器需要来自世界各地的零件吗？原材料也将来自世界各地。建造工厂需要大量的规划，找到土地，购买土地，获得批准，找到能够完成项目的承包商，规划设备，找到所需的材料等等。这不是说“嘿，我们将开始制造自己的东西，让我们建造一个工厂”那么简单。甚至开始生产任何东西都需要数年时间，更不用说开始盈利了。当下一届政府可能撤销关税时，有多少公司愿意投入数百万美元？哦，但这只是意味着我们从现有的工厂和车间生产，是的，那么这些公司将抬高价格，因为他们可以。如果公司想在美国制造，他们早就这样做了，但他们因为利润而外包。特朗普自己就把生产外包到中国，他甚至公开谈论过这件事。
@juliahello6673
For manufacturing a complex product you need many, sometimes thousands of materials and parts. You can’t ramp up all the factories to make those materials and parts and then, when they are all ramped up, make the car or plane or other complex product. That doesn’t work economically. How would those parts companies stay afloat when they don’t yet have any buyers?
制造一个复杂的产品需要许多，有时是成千上万的材料和零件。你无法让所有工厂都生产这些材料和零件，然后当它们都准备好时，再制造汽车、飞机或其他复杂产品。这在经济上行不通。当这些零件公司还没有任何买家时，它们如何维持运营？
@st4331
Many Western countries have been very wary of China, but Trump is tipping the balance towards China being a better trading partner.
许多西方国家一直对中国非常警惕，但特朗普正在使天平向中国倾斜并使其成为更好的贸易伙伴。
@kenbehrens5778
As Australia found. When Australia was an unreliable trading partner and blocked Chinese products hundreds of times, they retaliated. Coal, barley, timber, wine, lobster weren't bought from Australia. The 20 billion loss to Australia's exports was made up by China buying elsewhere. Now relations have improved.
正如澳大利亚所发现的，当澳大利亚是一个不可靠的贸易伙伴并数百次阻止中国产品时，他们进行了报复。煤炭、大麦、木材、葡萄酒、龙虾不再从澳大利亚购买，澳大利亚出口的200亿损失由中国从其他地方购买弥补。现在两国的关系已经改善。
@valsyaranamual6853
Countries don't like being told what and how to do things from another country, definitely not the USA/Trump. The world can see/hear that he is incompetent!
一个国家不喜欢被另一个国家告诉该做什么和如何做，尤其是美国/特朗普。世界可以看到/听到他是无能的！
@whatever6455
Technically, Americans can just mine Tungsten in the US, but they don't want to. Also, China has more Tungsten deposits than the US.
从技术上讲，美国人可以在美国开采钨，但他们不想这样做。此外，中国的钨储量比美国更多。
@remix-yy1hs
It costs a lot of money and you can't do that in one day, it will take a couple of years and it will be more expensive. No US company would invest in a losing game. ������ China thought about that, they will crash the price and flood the market and you will lose your investments.
这需要很多钱，而且你无法在一天内完成，这将需要几年时间，而且会更昂贵。没有美国公司会投资于一个失败的游戏。中国考虑到了这一点，他们会压低价格并淹没市场，你将失去你的投资。
@davidwong5197
Here's the problem:
Average US CEO makes 1M, with bonus and option 17.7M. Average US product gross margin 35%.
Average Taiwanese CEO makes $200K, average Chinese product gross margin 5%.
US do not want to compete in commodity. Not enough margin.
问题是：
美国CEO的平均收入为100万美元，加上奖金和期权为1770万美元。美国产品的平均毛利率为35%。
台湾（地区）CEO的平均收入为20万美元，中国产品的平均毛利率为5%。
美国不想在商品上竞争，因为利润不够高。
@ElainEmail-m7q
Every country is buying their own locally produced goods and services now. Why not?
"SUCCESS is the best REVENGE."
To retaliate against the USA Tariffs Man is to stop buying goods and services from the USA.
每个国家现在都在购买自己本地生产的商品和服务，为什么不呢？
“成功是最好的报复。”
报复美国关税人的方法是停止购买美国的商品和服务。
@larrysherk
Trump is worried about the world currency status of the dollar. Not an issue, really, because most trade will be done ignoring the dollar. So Trump can keep his dollar; it will just keep shrinking in value.
特朗普担心美元的世界货币地位，其实这不是问题，因为大多数贸易将忽略美元。所以特朗普可以保留他的美元，它只会继续贬值。
@Machinedmetal
Tariffs raised prices in 2018. And the new ones just raised prices 25 percent in my industry. Corporations are taking advantage of it and raised prices in January. They now want to lay off workers to increase more profits.
关税在2018年提高了商品的价格，新的关税刚刚导致在我的行业中提高了25%的价格。公司正在利用这一点并在1月份提高了价格，他们现在想裁员以增加更多的利润。
@MS6InvaderCommander
7:45 I want to correct this bit, billionaires don't want market stability. Currently, Trump is also being investigated for INTENTIONALLY crashing markets and telling his buddies in advance so they can take proper action and cash out before the crash and gain millions more out of it.
7:45 我想纠正这一点，亿万富翁不想要市场稳定。目前，特朗普正在被调查故意使市场崩溃并提前告诉他的朋友们，以便他们可以采取适当的行动并在崩溃前套现并从中获得数百万的利润。
@mgfunky
I am an American and one thing we Americans know is the fact that the more wealthy you are the louder the mouth gets, the bigger posture gets, the more threats get, but rarely actually put their money where their mouth is and we can see this behavior played out internationally. Rest assured the US itself will not go to war with China, and if this was the case we would have seen our troops in Russia years ago. The world is much different and when people say the US is now a service economy that also plays out in the military. We will pay and sell you lies and use our posture and mouth to get other countries to do our bidding. This is the current US reality. Actually, people of the US are loving Chinese people more and more. Thanks to TikTok ban.
我是美国人，我们美国人知道的一件事是你越富有，你的嘴巴就越大，姿态就越高，威胁就越多，但你很少会真正把钱花在嘴上，我们可以在国际上看到这种行为。请放心，美国本身不会与中国开战，如果是这样，我们几年前就会在俄罗斯看到我们的军队。世界已经大不相同，当人们说美国现在是服务经济时，这也体现在军事上。我们会付钱并卖给你谎言，并用我们的姿态和嘴巴让其他国家为我们做事，这是美国的现实。实际上，多亏了TikTok禁令，美国人民越来越喜欢中国人。
@jktech2117
Bro if it wasn't for this (I'm Brazilian) I wouldn't have a Chinese close friend that we play to meet someday in the far future and will be fun because he will have married his boyfriend and I will have married mine and will be a very wholesome thing.
Also, I plan to move to the US if Trump doesn't ruin it.
兄弟，如果不是因为这个（我是巴西人），我就不会有一个亲密的中国朋友，我们约好有一天在遥远的未来见面，这将很有趣，因为他将嫁给他的男朋友，我将嫁给我的男朋友，这将是一件非常有益的事情。
此外，如果特朗普不搞砸的话，我计划搬到美国。
@Jerry.Luna63
The tariffs are reciprocal. They charge us a tariff, we charge them the same.
If they remove the tariffs they’ve had for decades on us, we’ll do the same.
Everyone charges the U.S. tariffs, that’s why there’s no Ford’s in the EU. They make owning American cars very expensive for Europeans, yet we don’t charge them anything and allow them to sell their Audi’s and BMW’s.
That’s just one example out of hundreds.
If they remove their tariffs on us, or build in the U.S., then no tariff for them!
It’s deal psychology.
关税是互惠的，他们向我们征收关税，我们也向他们征收同样的关税。
如果他们取消几十年来对我们的关税，我们也会这样做。
每个国家都向美国征收关税，这就是为什么欧盟没有福特汽车的原因。他们让欧洲人拥有美国汽车变得非常昂贵，但我们不向他们收取任何费用并允许他们销售奥迪和宝马。
这只是数百个例子中的一个。
如果他们取消对我们的关税或者在美国制造，那么他们就没有关税！
这是交易心理学。
@jorgesuasin03
University student here studying economics in Singapore… the tariffs placed on the US were agreed upon BY the US during negotiations overseen by the World Trade Organisations over the last few decades. In fact, the US has also placed tariffs on many other countries prior to Donald Trump's first step into office. The purpose of these negotiations was to reduce the number of tariffs worldwide (post great depression) as tariffs are detrimental to the global economy as a whole and everyone suffers as it affects the free flow of trade. By DT shooting tariffs left and right, he is kinda destroying the global reputation of the US and back tracking on past agreements sending us spiraling towards another possible recession.
Please AMERICANS GET YOURSELF EDUCATED �� everyone on our side of the world is wincing at this idiocy.
As my Economics of Globalisation professor commented earlier this week, watching the US is like looking at a Car crash in slow motion on a 5-lane road WITH ALL THE OTHER lanes being empty all whilst knowing the outcome of this crash.
我是在新加坡学习经济学的大学学生……在过去几十年里，美国在世界贸易组织的监督下通过谈判同意了对其征收的关税。事实上，在唐纳德·特朗普上任之前，美国也对许多其他国家征收了关税。这些谈判的目的是减少全球关税数量（大萧条后），因为关税对全球经济整体有害，每个人都会受到影响，因为它影响了贸易的自由流动。通过特朗普四处开征关税，他正在某种程度上破坏美国的全球声誉并回到过去的协议，使我们陷入另一场可能的衰退。
请美国人进行自我教育，我们这边世界的每个人都在对这种愚蠢行为感到痛苦。
正如我的全球化经济学教授本周早些时候评论的那样，观察美国就像在看一场五车道公路上的慢动作车祸，而所有其他车道都是空的，同时我们知道这场车祸的结果。
@gerardallen3438
I want America to win but at the same time, it's hard to deny all the wild shit we have done to other countries and within our own country over time. It's only a matter of time before they all get together like they are doing now and change the narrative. Not sure what it would feel like if we lose all of this and how hard it would ultimately hurt us in the US. We really need to change for the future and do it fast.
我希望美国赢，但与此同时，很难否认我们长期以来对其他国家和我们自己的国家所做的疯狂事情。他们像现在这样团结起来并改变叙事只是时间问题，我不确定如果我们失去这一切会是什么感觉，以及最终会对我们美国造成多大的伤害。我们确实需要为改变未来并迅速采取行动。
@ameenahameed8874
Feeling the same way. The US has done some of its own people wrong - as well as people in other countries. It's obvious the world is moving away from us and they have every right to, and our country will continue to decline but I think it is time for an internal reset anyway and our country will have to change to be able to make it in a new world. Either that or we don't survive.
我有同样的感觉。美国对自己的人民做了一些错事——也对其他国家的人民做了错事。很明显，世界正在远离我们，他们有权利这样做，我们的国家将继续衰落，但我认为是时候进行内部重置了，我们的国家必须改变才能在新的世界中生存。要么这样，要么我们无法生存。
@KColes63
I beg to differ. Take a look at what is happening as we speak with your biggest Tourism partner, Canada. As they boycott EVERYTHING US including Kentucky whiskey which Canada is the biggest consumer of and Kentucky has already shown concern and unitedly the rest of the world has united with Canada and Mexico. I know the US likes to think they are the Almighty Power but they aren't!
我不同意。看看我们正在谈论的你们最大的旅游伙伴加拿大正在发生的事情，他们正在抵制所有的美国产品，包括加拿大消费量最大的肯塔基威士忌，肯塔基已经表示担忧，世界其他国家已经团结起来与加拿大和墨西哥站在一起。我知道美国喜欢认为他们是全能的力量，但他们不是！
@JohnDoe-th6ne
Totally agree. Just ask these questions. Are we better off since 2018 trade war started? Does America become stronger? Will things get better or worse in days to come? Only look at prices at the local market and we will have answers. Why is this so hard for Washington to understand?
我完全同意。只要问这些问题就明白了：自2018年贸易战开始以来，我们过得更好吗？美国变得更强大了吗？未来几天情况会变得更好还是更糟？只要看看当地市场的价格，我们就会有答案。为什么华盛顿这么难理解？
It just dawned on me why Donald Trump loves Russia and China so much… It’s the color red. The Chinese flag is almost all red… When he thinks of Russia, he probably still thinks of the Soviet unx and that flag was almost all red. There’s Red Square in Moscow. Red is associated with Communism or socialism in almost every part of the world, except apparently the United States. So, he envisions red and thinks oh they’re Republican.
我突然明白为什么唐纳德·特朗普如此喜欢俄罗斯和中国……是因为红色。中国国旗几乎全是红色……当他想到俄罗斯时，他可能仍然会想到苏联，而那面国旗也几乎全是红色。莫斯科有红场。红色在世界几乎每个地方都与共产主义或社会主义联系在一起，除了美国。所以，他想象红色并认为哦，他们是共和党人。
@dennyliu7494
American politicians never learn from history. Both Trump and Biden forget that one of the major triggers for the Great Depression of 1929-1933 was the imposition of heavy tariffs against major trading partners - the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act passed on 17 June 1930. If Trump continues his tariff plans, we shall see a great disruption of world economic order, and probably cause a depression in the whole world.
美国政客从不从历史中学习。特朗普和拜登都忘记了1929-1933年大萧条的主要触发因素之一是对主要贸易伙伴征收重税——1930年6月17日通过的斯姆特-霍利关税法。如果特朗普继续他的关税计划，我们将看到世界经济秩序的巨大破坏并可能引发全球萧条。
@Becks071
These tariffs are putting so many small businesses out of business. I know one guy who does spray foam insulation. He said even a small increase in costs would put him under. The majority of his supplies come from Canada and he said people just cannot afford to pay more to keep him going. We will all feel this regardless of income.
这些关税正在使许多小企业倒闭。我认识一个做喷涂泡沫绝缘的人，他说即使是微小的成本增加也会让他倒闭。他的大部分供应来自加拿大，他说人们无法支付更多的钱来维持他的生意。无论收入如何，我们都会感受到这一点。
@bw2442
When you move to another country away from the USA you begin to realize how hyper-military the USA is, it’s woven into the fabric of our society, the video game ads showing people getting shot, blown up, bleeding everywhere, war movies showing snipers killing, explosions, death, carnage, solving every problem with a swat team or special forces. I know the military is needed but imo this is way overkill. 800 bases everywhere really. I think this posture and cowboy attitude drowns out what we used to be before WW1, a peace-loving nation that had a message of goodwill towards men and ready to bring peace. It’s obvious how far from the mark we’ve fallen when you live in 3rd world nations where they are still people-centered instead of money or military-centered. If you live by the sword you die by the sword.
当你搬到另一个国家远离美国时，你会开始意识到美国是多么的军事化，它已经融入了我们社会的结构。电子游戏广告中人们被枪击、爆炸、到处流血，战争电影中狙击手杀人、爆炸、死亡、大屠杀，用特警队或特种部队解决每一个问题。虽然我知道军队是必要的，但在我看来，这太过分了。美国确实在全世界有800个基地。我认为这种姿态和牛仔态度淹没了我们在一战前的样子：一个热爱和平，向人们传递善意并准备带来和平的国家。当你生活在第三世界国家时，你会发现很明显我们已经偏离了目标，而那里仍然以人为本，而不是以金钱或军事为中心。如果你靠剑生活，你会死于剑下。
@basque888
Data for 2024:
China's export was 20% of total GDP.
China's exports to the US was 14% of all exports.
So, in 2024 China's exports to the US was only 2.8% of China's total GDP.
The idea that China needs the US market, as much as the Americans think needs to be reassessed.
2024年的数据：
中国的出口占GDP的20%。
中国对美国的出口占所有出口的14%。
因此，2024年中国对美国的出口仅占中国GDP的2.8%。
正如美国人所认为的那样，中国需要美国市场的想法需要重新评估。
@lmrony
Tariffs will hurt America but will only cause a small dent to China. Nobody wins in a trade war or any war, but in this case, China trades with almost every country & not trading with the USA is no big deal but the US consumer will definitely feel the effect as most of the items they buy actually are made in China & therefore a direct hit to their spending power.
关税会伤害美国，但只会对中国造成小的影响。在贸易战或任何战争中没有人是赢家，但在这种情况下，中国几乎与每个国家都有贸易往来，不与美国贸易并不是什么大事，但美国消费者肯定会感受到影响，因为他们购买的大多数商品实际上是中国制造的，因此会直接打击他们的消费能力。
@champ8605
I think the point not often made is that all the manufacturing equipment needed to kickstart manufacturing in America will be from China.
我认为一个不常被提及的观点是启动美国制造业所需的所有制造设备都将来自中国。
@alexisglaab2572
You know you can just build your own stuff, right? From the ground up, it is the most expensive way to establish industrial infrastructure, but maybe it NEEDS to be done. Over-reliance on China has utterly fucked over American production. BUT you can just build new stuff. This mentality of only ever buying premade stuff to save money is part of the problem. You really DO got to spend money before you can make it.
你知道你可以自己建造东西，对吧？从头开始，这是建立工业基础设施最昂贵的方式，但也许这是必须的。过度依赖中国已经彻底搞砸了美国的工业，但你可以建造新的东西。这种只购买预制物品以节省钱的心态是问题的一部分，你确实必须先花钱才能赚钱。
@champ8605
I take it you haven't really built anything? You realize to build machinery takes parts from all over the world right? Raw materials come from all over the world. To build a factory requires an enormous amount of planning, finding the land, purchasing the land, approvals, finding a contractor capable of the project, planning the equipment, finding the materials needed and so much more. It's not a matter of hey we will start making our own things let's build a factory. It will take years to even start producing anything let alone start to turn a profit. How many companies will want to sink millions when the next administration could reverse the tariffs? Oh but it just means we produce from existing factories and plants, yeah then those companies will price gouge because they can. If companies wanted to manufacture in America they already would, yet they outsource because of profits. Trump outsourced to China himself and even talked openly about it.
我想你还没有真正建造过任何东西吧？你意识到建造机器需要来自世界各地的零件吗？原材料也将来自世界各地。建造工厂需要大量的规划，找到土地，购买土地，获得批准，找到能够完成项目的承包商，规划设备，找到所需的材料等等。这不是说“嘿，我们将开始制造自己的东西，让我们建造一个工厂”那么简单。甚至开始生产任何东西都需要数年时间，更不用说开始盈利了。当下一届政府可能撤销关税时，有多少公司愿意投入数百万美元？哦，但这只是意味着我们从现有的工厂和车间生产，是的，那么这些公司将抬高价格，因为他们可以。如果公司想在美国制造，他们早就这样做了，但他们因为利润而外包。特朗普自己就把生产外包到中国，他甚至公开谈论过这件事。
@juliahello6673
For manufacturing a complex product you need many, sometimes thousands of materials and parts. You can’t ramp up all the factories to make those materials and parts and then, when they are all ramped up, make the car or plane or other complex product. That doesn’t work economically. How would those parts companies stay afloat when they don’t yet have any buyers?
制造一个复杂的产品需要许多，有时是成千上万的材料和零件。你无法让所有工厂都生产这些材料和零件，然后当它们都准备好时，再制造汽车、飞机或其他复杂产品。这在经济上行不通。当这些零件公司还没有任何买家时，它们如何维持运营？
@st4331
Many Western countries have been very wary of China, but Trump is tipping the balance towards China being a better trading partner.
许多西方国家一直对中国非常警惕，但特朗普正在使天平向中国倾斜并使其成为更好的贸易伙伴。
@kenbehrens5778
As Australia found. When Australia was an unreliable trading partner and blocked Chinese products hundreds of times, they retaliated. Coal, barley, timber, wine, lobster weren't bought from Australia. The 20 billion loss to Australia's exports was made up by China buying elsewhere. Now relations have improved.
正如澳大利亚所发现的，当澳大利亚是一个不可靠的贸易伙伴并数百次阻止中国产品时，他们进行了报复。煤炭、大麦、木材、葡萄酒、龙虾不再从澳大利亚购买，澳大利亚出口的200亿损失由中国从其他地方购买弥补。现在两国的关系已经改善。
@valsyaranamual6853
Countries don't like being told what and how to do things from another country, definitely not the USA/Trump. The world can see/hear that he is incompetent!
一个国家不喜欢被另一个国家告诉该做什么和如何做，尤其是美国/特朗普。世界可以看到/听到他是无能的！
@whatever6455
Technically, Americans can just mine Tungsten in the US, but they don't want to. Also, China has more Tungsten deposits than the US.
从技术上讲，美国人可以在美国开采钨，但他们不想这样做。此外，中国的钨储量比美国更多。
@remix-yy1hs
It costs a lot of money and you can't do that in one day, it will take a couple of years and it will be more expensive. No US company would invest in a losing game. ������ China thought about that, they will crash the price and flood the market and you will lose your investments.
这需要很多钱，而且你无法在一天内完成，这将需要几年时间，而且会更昂贵。没有美国公司会投资于一个失败的游戏。中国考虑到了这一点，他们会压低价格并淹没市场，你将失去你的投资。
@davidwong5197
Here's the problem:
Average US CEO makes 1M, with bonus and option 17.7M. Average US product gross margin 35%.
Average Taiwanese CEO makes $200K, average Chinese product gross margin 5%.
US do not want to compete in commodity. Not enough margin.
问题是：
美国CEO的平均收入为100万美元，加上奖金和期权为1770万美元。美国产品的平均毛利率为35%。
台湾（地区）CEO的平均收入为20万美元，中国产品的平均毛利率为5%。
美国不想在商品上竞争，因为利润不够高。
@ElainEmail-m7q
Every country is buying their own locally produced goods and services now. Why not?
"SUCCESS is the best REVENGE."
To retaliate against the USA Tariffs Man is to stop buying goods and services from the USA.
每个国家现在都在购买自己本地生产的商品和服务，为什么不呢？
“成功是最好的报复。”
报复美国关税人的方法是停止购买美国的商品和服务。
@larrysherk
Trump is worried about the world currency status of the dollar. Not an issue, really, because most trade will be done ignoring the dollar. So Trump can keep his dollar; it will just keep shrinking in value.
特朗普担心美元的世界货币地位，其实这不是问题，因为大多数贸易将忽略美元。所以特朗普可以保留他的美元，它只会继续贬值。
@Machinedmetal
Tariffs raised prices in 2018. And the new ones just raised prices 25 percent in my industry. Corporations are taking advantage of it and raised prices in January. They now want to lay off workers to increase more profits.
关税在2018年提高了商品的价格，新的关税刚刚导致在我的行业中提高了25%的价格。公司正在利用这一点并在1月份提高了价格，他们现在想裁员以增加更多的利润。
@MS6InvaderCommander
7:45 I want to correct this bit, billionaires don't want market stability. Currently, Trump is also being investigated for INTENTIONALLY crashing markets and telling his buddies in advance so they can take proper action and cash out before the crash and gain millions more out of it.
7:45 我想纠正这一点，亿万富翁不想要市场稳定。目前，特朗普正在被调查故意使市场崩溃并提前告诉他的朋友们，以便他们可以采取适当的行动并在崩溃前套现并从中获得数百万的利润。
@mgfunky
I am an American and one thing we Americans know is the fact that the more wealthy you are the louder the mouth gets, the bigger posture gets, the more threats get, but rarely actually put their money where their mouth is and we can see this behavior played out internationally. Rest assured the US itself will not go to war with China, and if this was the case we would have seen our troops in Russia years ago. The world is much different and when people say the US is now a service economy that also plays out in the military. We will pay and sell you lies and use our posture and mouth to get other countries to do our bidding. This is the current US reality. Actually, people of the US are loving Chinese people more and more. Thanks to TikTok ban.
我是美国人，我们美国人知道的一件事是你越富有，你的嘴巴就越大，姿态就越高，威胁就越多，但你很少会真正把钱花在嘴上，我们可以在国际上看到这种行为。请放心，美国本身不会与中国开战，如果是这样，我们几年前就会在俄罗斯看到我们的军队。世界已经大不相同，当人们说美国现在是服务经济时，这也体现在军事上。我们会付钱并卖给你谎言，并用我们的姿态和嘴巴让其他国家为我们做事，这是美国的现实。实际上，多亏了TikTok禁令，美国人民越来越喜欢中国人。
@jktech2117
Bro if it wasn't for this (I'm Brazilian) I wouldn't have a Chinese close friend that we play to meet someday in the far future and will be fun because he will have married his boyfriend and I will have married mine and will be a very wholesome thing.
Also, I plan to move to the US if Trump doesn't ruin it.
兄弟，如果不是因为这个（我是巴西人），我就不会有一个亲密的中国朋友，我们约好有一天在遥远的未来见面，这将很有趣，因为他将嫁给他的男朋友，我将嫁给我的男朋友，这将是一件非常有益的事情。
此外，如果特朗普不搞砸的话，我计划搬到美国。
@Jerry.Luna63
The tariffs are reciprocal. They charge us a tariff, we charge them the same.
If they remove the tariffs they’ve had for decades on us, we’ll do the same.
Everyone charges the U.S. tariffs, that’s why there’s no Ford’s in the EU. They make owning American cars very expensive for Europeans, yet we don’t charge them anything and allow them to sell their Audi’s and BMW’s.
That’s just one example out of hundreds.
If they remove their tariffs on us, or build in the U.S., then no tariff for them!
It’s deal psychology.
关税是互惠的，他们向我们征收关税，我们也向他们征收同样的关税。
如果他们取消几十年来对我们的关税，我们也会这样做。
每个国家都向美国征收关税，这就是为什么欧盟没有福特汽车的原因。他们让欧洲人拥有美国汽车变得非常昂贵，但我们不向他们收取任何费用并允许他们销售奥迪和宝马。
这只是数百个例子中的一个。
如果他们取消对我们的关税或者在美国制造，那么他们就没有关税！
这是交易心理学。
@jorgesuasin03
University student here studying economics in Singapore… the tariffs placed on the US were agreed upon BY the US during negotiations overseen by the World Trade Organisations over the last few decades. In fact, the US has also placed tariffs on many other countries prior to Donald Trump's first step into office. The purpose of these negotiations was to reduce the number of tariffs worldwide (post great depression) as tariffs are detrimental to the global economy as a whole and everyone suffers as it affects the free flow of trade. By DT shooting tariffs left and right, he is kinda destroying the global reputation of the US and back tracking on past agreements sending us spiraling towards another possible recession.
Please AMERICANS GET YOURSELF EDUCATED �� everyone on our side of the world is wincing at this idiocy.
As my Economics of Globalisation professor commented earlier this week, watching the US is like looking at a Car crash in slow motion on a 5-lane road WITH ALL THE OTHER lanes being empty all whilst knowing the outcome of this crash.
我是在新加坡学习经济学的大学学生……在过去几十年里，美国在世界贸易组织的监督下通过谈判同意了对其征收的关税。事实上，在唐纳德·特朗普上任之前，美国也对许多其他国家征收了关税。这些谈判的目的是减少全球关税数量（大萧条后），因为关税对全球经济整体有害，每个人都会受到影响，因为它影响了贸易的自由流动。通过特朗普四处开征关税，他正在某种程度上破坏美国的全球声誉并回到过去的协议，使我们陷入另一场可能的衰退。
请美国人进行自我教育，我们这边世界的每个人都在对这种愚蠢行为感到痛苦。
正如我的全球化经济学教授本周早些时候评论的那样，观察美国就像在看一场五车道公路上的慢动作车祸，而所有其他车道都是空的，同时我们知道这场车祸的结果。
@gerardallen3438
I want America to win but at the same time, it's hard to deny all the wild shit we have done to other countries and within our own country over time. It's only a matter of time before they all get together like they are doing now and change the narrative. Not sure what it would feel like if we lose all of this and how hard it would ultimately hurt us in the US. We really need to change for the future and do it fast.
我希望美国赢，但与此同时，很难否认我们长期以来对其他国家和我们自己的国家所做的疯狂事情。他们像现在这样团结起来并改变叙事只是时间问题，我不确定如果我们失去这一切会是什么感觉，以及最终会对我们美国造成多大的伤害。我们确实需要为改变未来并迅速采取行动。
@ameenahameed8874
Feeling the same way. The US has done some of its own people wrong - as well as people in other countries. It's obvious the world is moving away from us and they have every right to, and our country will continue to decline but I think it is time for an internal reset anyway and our country will have to change to be able to make it in a new world. Either that or we don't survive.
我有同样的感觉。美国对自己的人民做了一些错事——也对其他国家的人民做了错事。很明显，世界正在远离我们，他们有权利这样做，我们的国家将继续衰落，但我认为是时候进行内部重置了，我们的国家必须改变才能在新的世界中生存。要么这样，要么我们无法生存。
@KColes63
I beg to differ. Take a look at what is happening as we speak with your biggest Tourism partner, Canada. As they boycott EVERYTHING US including Kentucky whiskey which Canada is the biggest consumer of and Kentucky has already shown concern and unitedly the rest of the world has united with Canada and Mexico. I know the US likes to think they are the Almighty Power but they aren't!
我不同意。看看我们正在谈论的你们最大的旅游伙伴加拿大正在发生的事情，他们正在抵制所有的美国产品，包括加拿大消费量最大的肯塔基威士忌，肯塔基已经表示担忧，世界其他国家已经团结起来与加拿大和墨西哥站在一起。我知道美国喜欢认为他们是全能的力量，但他们不是！
@JohnDoe-th6ne
Totally agree. Just ask these questions. Are we better off since 2018 trade war started? Does America become stronger? Will things get better or worse in days to come? Only look at prices at the local market and we will have answers. Why is this so hard for Washington to understand?
我完全同意。只要问这些问题就明白了：自2018年贸易战开始以来，我们过得更好吗？美国变得更强大了吗？未来几天情况会变得更好还是更糟？只要看看当地市场的价格，我们就会有答案。为什么华盛顿这么难理解？
