考虑到日本的老龄化和停滞的经济，日本还有能力挑战中国吗？（上）
正文翻译
我认为日本是非常明智的，他们伪装成本地人在日本以外的地方悄悄扩大人口，同时使人口老龄化暴露在外，从而创造人力和专业知识真空来欺骗外国的熟练劳动力，这样他们就可以与对手竞争了。我不相信中国会用军事手段对付日本，但日本肯定需要防卫，我们生活在一个商业世界，甚至连军事也是由商业构成的，战争将摧毁外国的熟练劳动力和专业知识，我们需要打破人类进化阶梯上的台阶。
我认为日本是非常明智的，他们伪装成本地人在日本以外的地方悄悄扩大人口，同时使人口老龄化暴露在外，从而创造人力和专业知识真空来欺骗外国的熟练劳动力，这样他们就可以与对手竞争了。我不相信中国会用军事手段对付日本，但日本肯定需要防卫，我们生活在一个商业世界，甚至连军事也是由商业构成的，战争将摧毁外国的熟练劳动力和专业知识，我们需要打破人类进化阶梯上的台阶。
评论翻译
Yausi Tamn
I think Japan is very wise they are actually expanding their population outside Japan disguised as locals while leaving a exposed aging population creating a manpower and expertise vacuum to deceive foreign skills in this way they can compete against rivals , China I do not believe will use military against Japan but defense for sure is needed , we are living in a business world even military built up is business , war will destroy the foreign skills and expertise we need breaking steps on the evolutionary ladder
我认为日本是非常明智的，他们伪装成本地人在日本以外的地方悄悄扩大人口，同时使人口老龄化暴露在外，从而创造人力和专业知识真空来欺骗外国的熟练劳动力，这样他们就可以与对手竞争了。我不相信中国会用军事手段对付日本，但日本肯定需要防卫，我们生活在一个商业世界，甚至连军事也是由商业构成的，战争将摧毁外国的熟练劳动力和专业知识，我们需要打破人类进化阶梯上的台阶。
I think Japan is very wise they are actually expanding their population outside Japan disguised as locals while leaving a exposed aging population creating a manpower and expertise vacuum to deceive foreign skills in this way they can compete against rivals , China I do not believe will use military against Japan but defense for sure is needed , we are living in a business world even military built up is business , war will destroy the foreign skills and expertise we need breaking steps on the evolutionary ladder
我认为日本是非常明智的，他们伪装成本地人在日本以外的地方悄悄扩大人口，同时使人口老龄化暴露在外，从而创造人力和专业知识真空来欺骗外国的熟练劳动力，这样他们就可以与对手竞争了。我不相信中国会用军事手段对付日本，但日本肯定需要防卫，我们生活在一个商业世界，甚至连军事也是由商业构成的，战争将摧毁外国的熟练劳动力和专业知识，我们需要打破人类进化阶梯上的台阶。
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Yunxue Chen, Agnostic. I am not wiriting the fact but what I know，Lives in Perth, Western Australia2013–present
Militarily and politicially.
With or without all concerns in the question, all Japan needs to do is just one thing that riding on USA's coattails. Firmly.
After all, it has no choice. It is firmly controlled and protected by USA.
Economically, it has strong complementarity with China. China is Japan's biggest trade partner while they are all newly signed RCEP members.
Japan can still work with China on that part and pray there would be no harsh conflict between China and USA.
If it could have a choice, I mean all those concerns in the question were not existing while Japan is a normal country without USA's control, you may expect a East Asia version of EU formed which is with more population and economic power. XD
不管有没有这些顾虑，日本需要做的只有一件事，那就是牢牢抱住美国的大腿。
毕竟，它别无选择，它受到了美国的严格控制和保护。
在经济上，它与中国具有很强的互补性。中国是日本最大的贸易伙伴，而他们都是新签署的RCEP的成员国。
日本仍然可以在这方面与中国合作，并祈祷中美之间不会发生激烈冲突。
如果可以选择的话，我的意思是，当日本是一个不被美国控制的正常国家时，所有这些问题都不存在了，你可能会期待一个东亚版的欧盟形成，它拥有更多的人口和经济实力。
Yunxue Chen, Agnostic. I am not wiriting the fact but what I know，Lives in Perth, Western Australia2013–present
Militarily and politicially.
With or without all concerns in the question, all Japan needs to do is just one thing that riding on USA's coattails. Firmly.
After all, it has no choice. It is firmly controlled and protected by USA.
Economically, it has strong complementarity with China. China is Japan's biggest trade partner while they are all newly signed RCEP members.
Japan can still work with China on that part and pray there would be no harsh conflict between China and USA.
If it could have a choice, I mean all those concerns in the question were not existing while Japan is a normal country without USA's control, you may expect a East Asia version of EU formed which is with more population and economic power. XD
不管有没有这些顾虑，日本需要做的只有一件事，那就是牢牢抱住美国的大腿。
毕竟，它别无选择，它受到了美国的严格控制和保护。
在经济上，它与中国具有很强的互补性。中国是日本最大的贸易伙伴，而他们都是新签署的RCEP的成员国。
日本仍然可以在这方面与中国合作，并祈祷中美之间不会发生激烈冲突。
如果可以选择的话，我的意思是，当日本是一个不被美国控制的正常国家时，所有这些问题都不存在了，你可能会期待一个东亚版的欧盟形成，它拥有更多的人口和经济实力。
===========
Lance Chambers, MSM Masters of Science in Management & Operations Reasearch, Krannert School of Management (1984)
Japan had a serious demographic issue a few decades ago. However, they solved the problem by using robots to care for, feed, clean, and entertain their aged citizens. There was a number of thing the robots could not do but they did ease the pressure significantly so that more people could be released to work to help the economy.
China still has a few decades before things get too dire and I am sure they will look at the Japanese model, uate it and make their system more effective and efficient that Japans. After all they can see what has already happened in Japan and work to do better.
几十年前，日本遇到了严重的人口问题。然而，他们通过使用机器人来照顾、护理和娱乐老年人的方式解决了这个问题。有很多事情机器人做不到，但他们确实大大减轻了压力，使更多的人可以被解放出来工作，以帮助经济。
在形势变得过于严峻之前，中国还有几十年的时间，我相信他们会研究日本的模式，对其进行评估，使他们的制度比日本更加有效。毕竟，他们可以看到日本已经发生了什么，并努力做得更好。
Lance Chambers, MSM Masters of Science in Management & Operations Reasearch, Krannert School of Management (1984)
Japan had a serious demographic issue a few decades ago. However, they solved the problem by using robots to care for, feed, clean, and entertain their aged citizens. There was a number of thing the robots could not do but they did ease the pressure significantly so that more people could be released to work to help the economy.
China still has a few decades before things get too dire and I am sure they will look at the Japanese model, uate it and make their system more effective and efficient that Japans. After all they can see what has already happened in Japan and work to do better.
几十年前，日本遇到了严重的人口问题。然而，他们通过使用机器人来照顾、护理和娱乐老年人的方式解决了这个问题。有很多事情机器人做不到，但他们确实大大减轻了压力，使更多的人可以被解放出来工作，以帮助经济。
在形势变得过于严峻之前，中国还有几十年的时间，我相信他们会研究日本的模式，对其进行评估，使他们的制度比日本更加有效。毕竟，他们可以看到日本已经发生了什么，并努力做得更好。
China has better things to do than attack Japan that has nothing China needs or wants.
China doesn’t seek to attack or take over Japan.. What does Japan have that China would ever want or need?
China has 1.4 billion people and are expected to surpass the US in 3 - 5 years in economic terms. If they have any ‘target’ it would be the US and/or Western nations that continue to throw accusations at China in an attempt to slow Chinas progress.
相对于进攻一无所有的日本，中国有更好的事情要做。
中国不想进攻或接管日本，日本有什么是中国想要或需要的吗？
中国有14亿人口，预计3-5年内其GDP将超过美国。如果他们有任何“目标”的话，那只能是一直指责中国，企图阻挡中国的发展的美国和/或西方国家。
China doesn’t seek to attack or take over Japan.. What does Japan have that China would ever want or need?
China has 1.4 billion people and are expected to surpass the US in 3 - 5 years in economic terms. If they have any ‘target’ it would be the US and/or Western nations that continue to throw accusations at China in an attempt to slow Chinas progress.
相对于进攻一无所有的日本，中国有更好的事情要做。
中国不想进攻或接管日本，日本有什么是中国想要或需要的吗？
中国有14亿人口，预计3-5年内其GDP将超过美国。如果他们有任何“目标”的话，那只能是一直指责中国，企图阻挡中国的发展的美国和/或西方国家。
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Yee Ernest
No worry at all. Japan has learned very much trying to emulate western powers to colonize other Asian neighbours but to no avail.
Aging population should not be a problem as the political leaders of Japan are pragmatic politicians. They know how to plan and guide the country to be a good welfare state.
Japan has reach its highest potential in economic growth. What they need now is just to maitain its GDP annually to maiintain the standard of living of the people.
不用担心。日本在试图效仿西方列强殖民其他亚洲邻国方面学到了很多东西，但最终都是徒劳。
人口老龄化应该不是问题，因为日本的政治领导人都是务实的政治家，他们知道如何规划和引导日本成为一个良好的福利国家。
日本的经济增长潜力已达到最高水平，他们现在需要做的只是每年保持其国内生产总值，以维持人民的生活水平。
Yee Ernest
No worry at all. Japan has learned very much trying to emulate western powers to colonize other Asian neighbours but to no avail.
Aging population should not be a problem as the political leaders of Japan are pragmatic politicians. They know how to plan and guide the country to be a good welfare state.
Japan has reach its highest potential in economic growth. What they need now is just to maitain its GDP annually to maiintain the standard of living of the people.
不用担心。日本在试图效仿西方列强殖民其他亚洲邻国方面学到了很多东西，但最终都是徒劳。
人口老龄化应该不是问题，因为日本的政治领导人都是务实的政治家，他们知道如何规划和引导日本成为一个良好的福利国家。
日本的经济增长潜力已达到最高水平，他们现在需要做的只是每年保持其国内生产总值，以维持人民的生活水平。
Japan need not be afraid of China at all. China is not out to control its neighbours or the world. China just want to see that its people have a good standard of living like other advanced countries of the world.
China has no ultra ambition to doninate others but to live peacefully with all countries in the world.
It is the war mongers and countries with superior complex which will create discords in the world.
They have to be careful if they stir up troubles in the world.
They have to answer to God for thier misdeeds in the end.
日本根本不必害怕中国，中国并不想控制邻国或世界，中国只想看到自己的人民和世界上其他先进国家一样有着良好的生活水平。
中国没有消灭他人的极端野心，它希望与世界各国和平共处。
在世界上制造不和谐的是战争贩子和具有优越情结的国家。
如果他们在世界上制造麻烦，那他们可要当心了。
他们最终将为自己的恶行向上帝忏悔。
China has no ultra ambition to doninate others but to live peacefully with all countries in the world.
It is the war mongers and countries with superior complex which will create discords in the world.
They have to be careful if they stir up troubles in the world.
They have to answer to God for thier misdeeds in the end.
日本根本不必害怕中国，中国并不想控制邻国或世界，中国只想看到自己的人民和世界上其他先进国家一样有着良好的生活水平。
中国没有消灭他人的极端野心，它希望与世界各国和平共处。
在世界上制造不和谐的是战争贩子和具有优越情结的国家。
如果他们在世界上制造麻烦，那他们可要当心了。
他们最终将为自己的恶行向上帝忏悔。
==========
Ray Comeau, Decades working in analyzing risk and plotting strategy
Thanks for request
How will Japan deal with China? Deal with China about what?
The question presupposes something, without making a statement. Are we to guess?
Ok, Japan is populated by more and more old people, its economy has been under performing compared to the rest of East Asia and it has a modest navy ranked around 20th.
Japan and China has positive trading relationship.
日本将如何应付中国？应付什么？
这个问题应该有前提，但你没有做出说明，要我们猜吗？
好吧，日本的老年人越来越多，与东亚其他国家相比日本的经济表现一直不佳，而且日本海军的规模也不算大，排在世界第20位左右。
日本和中国有着积极的贸易关系。
Ray Comeau, Decades working in analyzing risk and plotting strategy
Thanks for request
How will Japan deal with China? Deal with China about what?
The question presupposes something, without making a statement. Are we to guess?
Ok, Japan is populated by more and more old people, its economy has been under performing compared to the rest of East Asia and it has a modest navy ranked around 20th.
Japan and China has positive trading relationship.
日本将如何应付中国？应付什么？
这个问题应该有前提，但你没有做出说明，要我们猜吗？
好吧，日本的老年人越来越多，与东亚其他国家相比日本的经济表现一直不佳，而且日本海军的规模也不算大，排在世界第20位左右。
日本和中国有着积极的贸易关系。
China is Japan’s biggest buyer of its exports.
Japan along with a number of other Asian nations last year joined the RCEP a regional multi-lateral trade agreement lead by China.
Japan is China’s third-largest source of foreign investment. In 2019 alone over 1,000 Japanese companies were set-up in China.
Japanese industry had invested over $100 billion in China by 2018.
Japan has a cooperation agreement (not membership) with participating in infrastructure projects China’s BRI.
Politically the only matter of any ongoing dispute between the two is over ownership of a few rock outcrops in the SCS, and what is considers war crimes during Japan’s occupation of parts of China.
Ø中国是日本出口产品的最大买家。
Ø日本和其他一些亚洲国家去年加入了RCEP，这是一个由中国牵头的区域性多边贸易协定。
Ø日本是中国第三大外资来源地。仅在2019年，就有1000多家日本公司在中国成立。
Ø截至2018年，日本工业界在华投资超过1000亿美元。
Ø日本在中国“一带一路”倡议的基础设施项目上有合作协议（非成员）。
在政治方面，两国之间目前唯一的争议是南海地区（应该是东海）的一些礁石的所有权问题，以及日本占领中国部分地区期间的战争罪行。
Japan along with a number of other Asian nations last year joined the RCEP a regional multi-lateral trade agreement lead by China.
Japan is China’s third-largest source of foreign investment. In 2019 alone over 1,000 Japanese companies were set-up in China.
Japanese industry had invested over $100 billion in China by 2018.
Japan has a cooperation agreement (not membership) with participating in infrastructure projects China’s BRI.
Politically the only matter of any ongoing dispute between the two is over ownership of a few rock outcrops in the SCS, and what is considers war crimes during Japan’s occupation of parts of China.
Ø中国是日本出口产品的最大买家。
Ø日本和其他一些亚洲国家去年加入了RCEP，这是一个由中国牵头的区域性多边贸易协定。
Ø日本是中国第三大外资来源地。仅在2019年，就有1000多家日本公司在中国成立。
Ø截至2018年，日本工业界在华投资超过1000亿美元。
Ø日本在中国“一带一路”倡议的基础设施项目上有合作协议（非成员）。
在政治方面，两国之间目前唯一的争议是南海地区（应该是东海）的一些礁石的所有权问题，以及日本占领中国部分地区期间的战争罪行。
Beyond those few things, what is there?
War is out of the question. There is nothing in Japan worth a war for China. Japan is in decline but the general the relationship is pragmatic. Japan cannot win any war with China. Japan fears North Korea more than China, while it is forced to house American military on its land.
Japan is doing OK. It will largely continue to appease the American hawks, while it looks after its long term interest in Asia and beyond.
除了这些，还有什么？
两国发生战争是不可能的。对中国来说，日本没有什么值得为之一战的。日本正在衰落，但两国关系的总体趋势是务实的，日本打不赢与中国的战争。与中国相比，日本更害怕朝鲜，同时日本被迫在自己的土地上部署美国军队。
日本表现不错，它将在很大程度上继续安抚美国鹰派，同时照顾其在亚洲及其他地区的长期利益。
War is out of the question. There is nothing in Japan worth a war for China. Japan is in decline but the general the relationship is pragmatic. Japan cannot win any war with China. Japan fears North Korea more than China, while it is forced to house American military on its land.
Japan is doing OK. It will largely continue to appease the American hawks, while it looks after its long term interest in Asia and beyond.
除了这些，还有什么？
两国发生战争是不可能的。对中国来说，日本没有什么值得为之一战的。日本正在衰落，但两国关系的总体趋势是务实的，日本打不赢与中国的战争。与中国相比，日本更害怕朝鲜，同时日本被迫在自己的土地上部署美国军队。
日本表现不错，它将在很大程度上继续安抚美国鹰派，同时照顾其在亚洲及其他地区的长期利益。
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