伊朗是如何保持霍尔木兹海峡关闭的？美国又如何开放它？
正文翻译
This video takes a look at the issue of protecting the Persian Gulf area and the Strait of Hormuz from Iranian attacks on the commercial shipping. What systems can Iran use on ships going through, and in what way? How successful would each system be? Which might be easier for US to find and neutralize? A second part of the video to come will take a look at defensive options the US might have, like aircraft and ship patrols through the Strait and the Gulf, in order to protect the shipping.
这段视频探讨了保护波斯湾地区和霍尔木兹海峡免受伊朗对商业航运攻击的问题。伊朗可以对经过该地区的船只使用哪些系统？这些系统具体会以什么方式运作？每种系统的成功率如何？哪种系统可能更容易被美国发现并中和？视频的第二部分将探讨美国可能采取的防御选项，例如通过霍尔木兹海峡和波斯湾进行的飞机和舰船巡逻，以保护航运安全。
这段视频探讨了保护波斯湾地区和霍尔木兹海峡免受伊朗对商业航运攻击的问题。伊朗可以对经过该地区的船只使用哪些系统？这些系统具体会以什么方式运作？每种系统的成功率如何？哪种系统可能更容易被美国发现并中和？视频的第二部分将探讨美国可能采取的防御选项，例如通过霍尔木兹海峡和波斯湾进行的飞机和舰船巡逻，以保护航运安全。
评论翻译
@dono-w3u
The main question is why would crews risk their lives for such an endeavor? Insurance costs would be prohibitive. Iran just needs to hit one ship to stop 100.
主要问题是，船员为什么会为这样的事业冒生命危险？保险费用会非常高。伊朗只需要击中一艘船就能阻止100艘。
@worldwanderer91
Just rename the Straight of Hormuz to Gay of Hormuz and watch how fast Iran open it back up
只需把霍尔木兹海峡改名为“霍尔木兹湾”，看看伊朗多快会重新开放它。
@你看个锤子你看
Aren't you going to comment on the F-35 being damaged?
你不打算评论一下F-35受损的事吗？
@thomaslance5428
I hope you make it clear how VERY difficult it will be if we decide to open it.
我希望你能明确如果我们决定开放它将会有多么困难。
@Flekahckash2004
bro said iran wont last a week now it seems the war is becoming eternity
兄弟说伊朗撑不到一周，现在看来战争似乎变成了永恒。
@archaicsentinel
The actual safe spot of passage in the Strait is super narrow. If Iran or any country sinks a ship in the Strait, the debris from said ship would need to be cleared before other ships can even pass.
霍尔木兹海峡的实际安全通行区域非常狭窄。如果伊朗或任何国家在海峡中沉没一艘船，残骸需要被清除，其他船只才能通过。
@jameswyre6480
Excellent episode again! One thing to note about Iranian intent. With the decapitation strikes that intensify whenever leaders meet to try negotiations or planning, the US and Israel have forced Iran into decentralized command and even issues where isolated IRGC units attack say Oman against the wishes of High Command to the extent they exist. This is a major downside for allied Gulf Countries who might well be attacked by individual IRGC drone or missile cells even if usually a taboo target. Thus, when Bibi and Trump play brinksmanship, they can trigger catastrophic attacks that may be utterly unrestrained and against unexpected targets.
又一集精彩的节目！有一点需要注意的是伊朗的意图。每当领导人会面尝试谈判或规划时，针对其进行的斩首打击会加剧，美国和以色列迫使伊朗采取去中心化指挥，甚至出现孤立的伊朗革命卫队单位违背高层指挥的意愿攻击，比如对阿曼进行袭击。这对可能遭受个别伊朗革命卫队无人机或导弹小组攻击的海湾盟国来说是一个重大缺陷，即使这些通常是禁忌目标。因此，当比比和特朗普进行边缘政策游戏时，他们可能引发灾难性的攻击，这些攻击可能完全不受限制并针对意想不到的目标。
@chrisspencer6502
Easy rule one of warfare never go to war with guys that live in the mountains and wear sandals
The combat sandal is a defining piece of equipment in modern warfare
战争的简单法则之一就是：永远不要与生活在山里、穿着凉鞋的人开战。作战凉鞋是现代战争中一个标志性的装备。
@tishanchamoditha9033
Remember iran doesnt even need to hit a ship scaring would be enough
记住，伊朗甚至不需要击中一艘船，恐吓就足够了。
@Longtack
imagine in 1000 years fragments pf this video survive with little context, and archaeologists try to figure out why a puppet was narrating ww3
想象一下，如果在1000年后，这段视频的片段幸存下来，且几乎没有上下文，考古学家试图弄清楚为什么有个傀儡在讲述第三次世界大战。
@dmac7128
Considering that the DoD may be requesting a 200 BILLION dollar supplemental, securing the strait is going to very expensive.
考虑到国防部可能请求2000亿美元的补充预算，确保海峡安全将会非常昂贵。
@hermes7587
If only someone had told Trump that Iran would close the Strait of Hormuz in case of a war...
如果有人早告诉特朗普，如果发生战争，伊朗会关闭霍尔木兹海峡就好了……
@servel2
Ukraine destroyed nearly the entirety of the Black Sea fleet with stealth submergible drones. No way to think Iran might not have the same capability.
乌克兰几乎用隐形潜水无人机摧毁了黑海舰队。没理由认为伊朗没有相同的能力。
@masterdiscounts
For the record, the president of the United States is now simultaneously claiming that he has won the war, is currently winning the war, needs help to win the war, and needs no help to win the war. All to destroy the nuclear program he claims to have already destroyed last year.
说一句，美国总统现在同时声称他已经赢得了战争，正在赢得战争，需要帮助来赢得战争，以及不需要任何帮助就能赢得战争。所有这一切都是为了摧毁他声称去年已经摧毁的核项目。
@NicolaiTschenow7530
Naval ground invasions are extremely costly, this war doesnt have the public support to handle a huge amount of casualties. If it was so simple, you bet China would have taken Taiwan a long time ago.
海军地面入侵成本极高，这场战争没有公众支持来承受大量伤亡。如果这么简单，你可以肯定中国早就Zhan领台湾（地区）了。
@DeEmperor1
Strait of Hormuz can not be opened. Doesn't matter how many warships you send there. Commercial shipping is controlled by insurance companies. They will never approve of sails as long as there is a risk. A VLCC ship cost $130 million. Basic insurance cost $250,000 and risky insurance cost minimum of $750,000 upwards. Even if insurance charge $5 million insurance, will that cover the cost of $130 million to buy a new ship if one gets hit?
You guys talk military without realising that this is a financial issue.
霍尔木兹海峡无法开放。无论你派多少军舰去那里都没有关系。商业航运由保险公司控制。只要存在风险，他们绝不会批准航行。一艘大型油轮的成本是1.3亿美元。基本保险费用为25万美元，而风险保险至少要75万美元以上。即使保险费用达到500万美元，如果一艘船被击中，是否能覆盖1.3亿美元的购船成本？你们谈论军事而没有意识到这实际上是一个财务问题。
@tusk3260
Sea mines can be used to narrow the safe path so it is easier to patrol and identify passing ships: Ship allowed to pass will go in the mine free narrow path, while anything that goes where the mines are is obviously the enemy and can be fired at without even needing their identification.
水雷可以用来缩小安全通道，这样更容易进行巡逻和识别过往船只：允许通过的船只会进入没有水雷的狭窄通道，而任何进入水雷区域的船只显然就是敌人，可以在不需要确认身份的情况下开火。
@JiajuChen
As far as i know GPS signal is completely f-cked in that region. Chinese sailor who made the adventures relied solely on tradional methodes.
据我所知，该地区的GPS信号完全受损。进行冒险的中国船员完全依赖传统方法。
@ValensBellator
I had thought Trump would just leave to avoid hurting his midterm chances, but now it’s looking like he plans to stay for months. I don’t think they’re going anywhere even if it’s political suicide for them come November. I question if Iran can sustain itself for that long.
我本以为特朗普会选择离开，以避免伤害他的中期选举机会，但现在看来他计划留几个月。我认为即使对他们来说在11月是政治自杀，他们也不会走。我怀疑伊朗能否维持那么长时间。
@teru797
I thought Murica was gonna be able to open the straight and end this special military operation in only a few days? I thought it was 3 days
我以为美国能够在几天内打开海峡，结束这次特别军事行动？我以为只需要3天。
@onenote6619
Alternatively, Iran comes up with a registry of ships that will not be attacked if they transit the Strait and don't put anyone who carries stuff for the USA or Israel on that list. Even if a few were to sneak through, Iran would only have to do serious damage once, and ships not on the list would become uninsurable.
或者，伊朗制定一份船只登记名单，确保在通过海峡时不会被攻击，而不把运送美国或以色列货物的船只列入该名单。即使有一些船只侥幸通过，伊朗只需造成一次严重损害，那些不在名单上的船只将变得无法投保。
@teng27
Iran had been preparing for US strike for over 40 years and Iran finally hit one US fighter with heat seeking missile. I was hoping all the hypes that Iran would have downed at least dozen of US aircrafts on first week as everyone expected would happened if conflict to occur.
Disappointed in Iran air defense.
伊朗已为美国的打击准备了超过40年，最终伊朗用热寻导弹击落了一架美国战斗机。我本希望所有人都期待的，如果发生冲突，伊朗至少会在第一周击落十几架美国飞机的夸张想法能成真。对伊朗的空中防御感到失望。
@mountainmanmike1014
Pentagon officials have made detailed preparations for deploying U.S. ground forces into Iran, multiple sources briefed on the discussions said. The U.S. is preparing to deploy elements of the 82nd Airborne Division into the Middle East region.
五角大楼官员已为将美国地面部队部署到伊朗进行了详细准备，多位知情人士透露。美国正准备将第82空降师的部分部队部署到中东地区。
@bastiontec5572
In 1953, the United States and United Kingdom backed a coup that overthrew Iran’s elected Prime Minister Mossadegh after he nationalized oil, restoring the Shah and shaping long term tensions. This would be the second time USA is going after the oil.
1953年，美国和英国支持了一场政变，推翻了伊朗民选总理穆萨德赫，他在国有化石油后恢复了沙阿的统治，并加深了长期紧张关系。这将是美国第二次针对石油采取行动。
@АндрійКовальчук-о8ч
Commercial optical fibers have limited length. China sell max 60km. That not mean 60km straight path of drone, but 30-40 km could be, maybe even 50km in best scenario. Wind will unwind some amount of fibers. You will require repeater for longer fiber length or use non-standard special fibers, which cost significantly more and there are limited possible manufacturers for such fibers (if such fibers exist, because there are no such fibers on the market). Repeater will require to create de facto a cable, weight of which will decrease drone payload. In addition preparing such drones with fibers require some additional time, during which drone team may be exposed. I think there are will be very small amount of such drones in this specific case and quite limited distance of using.
商业光纤的长度有限。中国出售的最大长度为60公里。这并不意味着无人机可以直线飞行60公里，而是可能在30-40公里，甚至在最佳情况下可达到50公里。风会影响一些光纤的长度。对于更长的光纤长度，你需要中继器，或者使用非标准的特殊光纤，这些光纤的成本显著更高，而且可能的制造商数量有限（如果这些光纤存在，因为市场上没有这样的光纤）。中继器的使用实际上需要创建一条电缆，这将减少无人机的有效载荷。此外，准备带光纤的无人机需要一些额外时间，这期间无人机团队可能会暴露在危险中。我认为在这种特定情况下，这类无人机的数量会非常少，使用距离也相当有限。
@BigMrSox
If Iran can't defend Kharg, they should destroy it scorched earth style in order to prevent Trump and his corpo buddies from seizing it's oil
如果伊朗无法防御霍尔木兹岛，他们应该以焦土政策摧毁它，以防特朗普和他的公司伙伴夺取那里的石油。
@tedbreckner
It is not closed. It is open. Iranian, Chinese, Indian and Pakistani ships have passed through the Strait. The Japanese will too soon. You just need to make an arrangement with the (defeated??) Iranians.
海峡并没有关闭。它是开放的。伊朗、中国、印度和巴基斯坦的船只已经通过了这个海峡。日本的船只也很快会通过。你只需要和（被击败的??）伊朗人达成协议。
@angelaferkel7922
the US is not able to keep up this war without a great effort. Militarily and strategically speaking the US is lightyears ahead of Iran and can win all the small scale engagements in the short term. But in the long term the US population will riot and not accept yet another long and extremely costly war in the middle east while body bags of their own children start stockpiling and ammunitions against China starting to get used up
美国无法在没有巨大努力的情况下继续这场战争。从军事和战略角度来看，美国在伊朗面前遥遥领先，能够在短期内赢得所有小规模交战。但从长远来看，美国民众将会暴动，不会接受又一场漫长且极其昂贵的中东战争，而他们子女的尸袋开始堆积，针对中国的弹药也开始耗尽。
@DSG-nc1oe
If Trump and his circus troup really had the ability to open the Strait of Hormuz, they would have done it long ago. will not ask European allies to help them escort them. In fact, once the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps filled the strait with mines. No one can pass from there. The Strait of Hormuz is a natural barrier, and its channel is too narrow. No minesweeper can calmly carry out mine clearance operations in the strait at a speed of 3 knots brave the offensive drones, anti-ship missiles or even torpedoes.
如果特朗普和他的马戏团真的有能力打开霍尔木兹海峡，他们早就应该做到这一点。他们不会请求欧洲盟友帮助护航。实际上，一旦伊朗革命卫队在海峡布满水雷，就没有人可以通过。霍尔木兹海峡是一个自然屏障，其航道过于狭窄。没有扫雷艇能在3节的速度下平稳地进行扫雷行动，还要抵御攻击无人机、反舰导弹甚至鱼雷。
@teamdoghouse82880
The best way to prevent these ships from being attacked would’ve been to not attack Iran for bullshit reasons in the first place…
防止这些船只被攻击的最好办法就是一开始不要以毫无根据的理由攻击伊朗……
@KpoplabPro
I guess that the new reality is that the oil tankers or in fact any ship needs to be retrofitted with anti balistic weapons, converted to a warship
我想新的现实是，油轮或实际上任何船只都需要加装反弹道武器，改装成战舰。
@dannylo5875
If Iran keeps it up for about three more months...the invasion will prove fatal. To the US economy. Nobody wants to pay above 5 or 6 dollars...or even more in gas in gallons at the pump Or over 150 in Brent.
如果伊朗再这样坚持三个月……入侵将对美国经济造成致命打击。没有人想在加油站支付超过5或6美元……甚至更多的油价，或者布伦特原油超过150美元。
@Maximbot3000
The axis of Epstein is speed running 'oil war defeat in the middle east'. Everyone else will be poorer as a result
爱泼斯坦轴心正在快速进行“中东石油战争失败”。其他所有国家都将因此变得更穷。
@Overlord1189-c2z
Iran has lots of underground tunnels along the coast line and the islands that they use to launch sea drones, torpedoes, mines etc. They are not visible from the above so it is hard to know how many they have or where they are located.
Edit: they have also use smart mines that are dorment and have been deployed at the bottom of the Persian gulf, straits of Hormuz, etc and can be activated remotely. Also, the narrowest part of the Straits of Hormuz there is only 2 shipping lanes, one inbound and one outbound so that makes it really tough to protect.
伊朗沿海岸线和岛屿有很多地下隧道，他们用这些隧道发射海上无人机、鱼雷、水雷等。这些隧道从上方看不见，因此很难知道他们有多少个或位于哪里。
补充：他们还使用了静默水雷，这些水雷已经部署在波斯湾、霍尔木兹海峡等地，可以远程激活。此外，在霍尔木兹海峡最狭窄的地方只有两个航道，一个是进港航道，一个是出港航道，这使得保护工作非常困难。
@mofuziTP10
Iran's drones don't use GPS, they use Russian and Chinese GLONASS or Beidou now. Is it me or is Binkov's Analysis always Pro-USA? The bias is there and obvious for all to see, but Iran will prove Binkov utterly wrong come this April.
伊朗的无人机不使用GPS，他们现在使用俄罗斯和中国的GLONASS或北斗。是我想多了，还是Binkov的分析总是亲美？这种偏见显而易见，但伊朗将在四月证明Binkov完全错误。
@solrubrum
How about they try diplomacy to open it up? Stop murdering the people you negotiate with. Stop acting like rats and more like adult humans.
他们为什么不试试外交来打开它？停止杀害你们谈判的人。别像老鼠一样行动，要更像成年人。
@tylernathan7985
AA and ship defense guys are getting all kinds of target practice, just pray we have large stockpiles and we don’t run out.
防空和船只防御的人员正在进行各种目标练习，只希望我们有大量的库存，不会用完。
@nekomakhea9440
There's a loud background hum that cuts in and out when your mic cutoff triggers as you speak. You might need a low pass filter on your audio or something.
当你的麦克风在说话时触发切断时，会有一种响亮的背景嗡嗡声进出。你可能需要在音频上使用低通滤波器或其他东西。
@luddite31
This will sound bad, but this is such a fascinating war to watch. It's like the ultimate real-time strategy game. We've got a huge mix of high-end and low-end technologies battling back and forth. Both sides have potential to escalate too- Iran could fully block the straits with mines, or the US could start hitting Iran's oil boats- but so far they're both holding back to allow some flow of oil. Iran's military must be in absolute chaos right now, with all of their leadership dead and communications destroyed, but there's still a hell of a lot of guys in caves with drones or small boats who can launch attacks. US is going all out, sending 3 carriers, bombers, drones, and now even A10s, bombing thousands of targets.
这听起来可能不太好，但这场战争真是令人着迷。就像是一场终极的实时战略游戏。我们看到高端和低端技术的巨大混合在此交锋。双方都有升级的潜力——伊朗可以用水雷完全封锁海峡，或者美国可以开始打击伊朗的油船——但到目前为止，他们都在克制，以允许一些石油流动。此刻，伊朗的军队一定处于绝对的混乱中，他们的领导层死伤惨重，通讯设施被摧毁，但仍然有很多人在洞穴里用无人机或小船发起攻击。美国正在全力以赴，派出三艘航母、轰炸机、无人机，现在甚至还有A10攻击机，轰炸数千个目标。
My guess is that it will take roughly a month for the US to finish off most of Iran's weapons that can hit the strait, but then they'll still need to escort ships there just in case a few drones or small missiles are left hidden somewhere. Maybe we'll start to see large scale use of laser weapons, since those are basically perfect for stopping that sort of small-scale drone attack. I do not think Iran will be able to keep it closed permanently, there's just too much pressure on them right now and no one is coming running to their rescue. Japan and the UK have also recently agreed to send some ships to help.
我猜美国大约需要一个月的时间来摧毁伊朗大部分能够打击海峡的武器，但他们仍然需要护航船只，以防还有一些无人机或小型导弹藏在某个地方。也许我们会开始看到激光武器的大规模使用，因为这些武器基本上非常适合阻止这种小规模的无人机攻击。我认为伊朗无法永久封闭海峡，目前对他们的压力太大，没人会跑来救他们。日本和英国最近也同意派遣一些船只来提供帮助。
@Spencer-i6v2i
All we've learned is that Israel will continuously say America we are allies you have to help and then proceeded to act like America isn't your ally didnt Israel attack America First during the 12-day war hey we're going to attack a bunch of countries let's attack USA radar so they can't track our attack
我们所了解到的只是以色列会不断对美国说，我们是盟友，你必须帮助我们，然后又表现得好像美国不是他们的盟友。以色列在12天的战争中不是首先攻击美国吗？嘿，我们要攻击一堆国家，让我们攻击美国的雷达，这样他们就无法追踪我们的攻击。
@kalebj7001
point to note, the Iranians have taken out 5 KC-135 Tankers (add to that 2 more - one crashed and the other damaged).. with 7 Tankers void for mission, it has limited the operational capacity of Airstrikes and patrol (especially for F-15, F-18, F-35 and F-22).. these fuel constraints means re-routing Tankers (additional KC-135s to the West Asia theatre).. all this makes the sorties and airstrike missions set back a little, even if its a minor set back, it can create a psychological and operational problem. A F-35 being shot and damaged is an example of whats going wrong in Iranian airspace for an airforce that claimed Air Superiority in the region. Iran will make use of this as much as possible, because next week USS Tripoli will make its presence near the Gulf.. which means more F-35Bs (need not worry about tankers for mid-air refueling, they got the Ship to land on).
需要注意的是，伊朗已经击落了5架KC-135加油机（再加上另外2架——一架坠毁，另一架受损）……这导致7架加油机无法执行任务，限制了空袭和巡逻的作战能力（特别是对于F-15、F-18、F-35和F-22）。这些燃料限制意味着需要重新调度加油机（额外的KC-135到西亚战区）……这一切使得出动和空袭任务稍有延迟，即使是小的延迟，也会造成心理和作战上的问题。一架F-35被击落并受损就是伊朗空域出现问题的一个例子，而这个空军声称在该地区拥有空中优势。伊朗将尽可能利用这一点，因为下周USS Tripoli将在海湾附近出现……这意味着更多的F-35B（不需要担心中途加油的加油机，他们可以在舰上着陆）。
@josesierraromero8316
the real problem here is Iran is a mountain country,not at all like Irak,that was a wasteland,shooting range and Iraki armies virtual sitting ducks. Iran have mountains,creeks,hills,long narrow valleys and some forests,all too close and ALONGSIDE the naval corridor. is extremely difficult but not impossible neutralize the menace Iran can apply. Time is the great Iran's ally and the worst enemy West have. time IS money. too much money..
这里真正的问题是伊朗是一个山地国家，根本不像伊拉克，那是一个荒地，射击场和伊拉克军队几乎是活靶子。伊朗有山脉、小溪、丘陵、狭长的山谷和一些森林，所有这些都靠近并沿着海军通道。要中和伊朗能施加的威胁极其困难，但并非不可能。时间是伊朗的伟大盟友，也是西方最大的敌人。时间就是金钱，太多的钱。
@foulu1247
Russia has it's own Vietnam War in Ukraine and now America has it's own Special Military Operation (sorry, excursion, lol) in Iran. Downold Syndrome Trump doesn't seem to realize that it's too late, he keeps bragging about air supremacy and leaders decimated but those drones keep flying on oil and gas facilities. The strait isn't your concern but it is for your gulf state allies...
俄罗斯在乌克兰有自己的越南战争，而美国现在在伊朗有自己的特别军事行动（抱歉，应该说“远足”，哈哈）。唐纳德·特朗普似乎没有意识到已经太晚了，他不停地吹嘘空中优势和领导人被消灭，但那些无人机仍在飞向石油和天然气设施。霍尔木兹海峡不是你的关切，但对你的海湾盟友来说却是……
@mrpower33
What’s odd is why the rest of the world seems so sanguine about the current situation. Regardless of what you think about the war, it’s clearly not tenable to allow Iran to retain this leverage over global trade. The solutions offered by detractors seem to rely on time travel, which as far as we know is more technically challenging than regime change in Iran at the moment.
奇怪的是，为什么世界其他地方对当前局势显得如此淡定。无论你对战争的看法如何，显然让伊朗保留对全球贸易的这种杠杆是不切实际的。反对者提出的解决方案似乎依赖于时间旅行，而就我们所知，这在技术上比目前在伊朗进行政权更替要困难得多。
@thomasgreene8054
Even if the US captures Hormuz Strait and the coasts of Iran, IRGC still can fire ballistic missiles taking out all Arab countries' oil refineries, so even capturing the strait is meaningless because the US no ability to stop Iran's missile and drone production at all.
即使美国占领了霍尔木兹海峡和伊朗的沿海地区，伊朗革命卫队仍然可以发射弹道导弹摧毁所有阿拉伯国家的石油炼油厂，因此占领海峡是毫无意义的，因为美国根本无法阻止伊朗的导弹和无人机生产。
@Banker88
Should of waited until Iran had nukes ( couple hundred ) another 20 000 ballistic missiles make ut more fun
应该等到伊朗拥有核武器（几百枚）和另外2万枚弹道导弹，那样会更有趣。
@thearlongpark
The strait is only closed to US and Israel ships. Any ships can pass as long as they pay fee in Chinese yuan. MSM always try to hide truths to "manage" the sheeps.
这个海峡对于美国和以色列的船只是关闭的。任何船只只要支付人民币费用就可以通过。主流媒体总是试图隐藏真相，以“管理”民众。
@samael7867
on paper iran has a large amount of missles.. well they proving it every day, ask the israelies, they know exactly how strong iran is right now.
从表面上看，伊朗拥有大量导弹……他们每天都在证明这一点，问问以色列人，他们知道伊朗现在有多强大。
@wesleywright7796
What's total hypocrisy is the US supposedly hit a school on accident, citizen target and IRAN HITS CITIZEN TARGETS ALL THE TIME AND THE LEFT SAYS NOTHING BECAUSE THEY HATE US.
真正的虚伪在于，美国声称误击了一所学校，目标是平民，而伊朗却一直在攻击平民目标，左派对此无动于衷，因为他们讨厌美国。
@anthonywalker6268
I don't think any of the gulf states are actually going to find it worth it, especially with production in the area destroyed. Probably cheaper for them just to switch area's.
我认为海湾国家根本不会觉得这值得，尤其是该地区的生产已经被摧毁。他们换个地方可能更便宜。
@lowspeccrysis7624
Iran becoming America's Ukraine. Satellite images show American military bases devastated by drones and missiles. Billions of dollars of radar & equipment damages. Even damage to refueling tankers. And now damage to a F35.
伊朗正在成为美国的乌克兰。卫星图像显示，美国军事基地遭到无人机和导弹的严重破坏。数十亿美元的雷达和设备损失，甚至连加油机也受到了损坏，现在连F35也受损了。
@speerie736
The fact that people is here discussing how to improve the death ratio on Iran, regarding an ongoing war fueled by lies and obscure interests, surely serves as a more effective demoralization campaign towards any decent human being that whatever shit the Secret Agencies or Epsteins of the world are capable of coming up whit. This, for the banality in its own evil, is 100% more shocking for me.
人们在这里讨论如何改善对伊朗的死亡比例，而这场战争是由谎言和模糊利益推动的，显然对于任何有良知的人来说，这比世界上任何秘密机构或爱泼斯坦所能想出的阴暗手段更有效地打击士气。这种平庸中的邪恶对我来说是100%更震惊的。
@yourfriend4104
Most likely sending ground troops. Trump says he doesn't or won't despite mentioning it, but that's just damage control on his part.
Its just sheer incompetence as everyone literally heard him say "we won" to "we are winning" to "we need nato" to "nato is lost and we don't need them" to "nato will suffer"
最有可能的是派遣地面部队。特朗普说他不这样做，或者不会这样做，尽管提到过，但这只是他的一种危机控制。
这完全是无能，因为每个人都听到过他从“我们赢了”到“我们正在赢”再到“我们需要北约”，然后是“北约已经失去了，我们不需要他们”，最后又说“北约将遭受损失”。
@big8611
Companies will get desperate ahahaha, what about the crew? do they get desperate to die for the sake of the company?
公司会变得绝望哈哈哈，那船员呢？他们会绝望到愿意为公司的利益而死吗？
@Baddy187
Blame your politicians for any possible economic hardship from this event. If your country faces oil/gas problems, your policians have failed in securing basic energy safety. They got lazy and didn't mind depending on the easiest or cheapest options. They failed to see how energy security is national security. You can blame the US or Iran all you want, but it is your country and people that failed to deliver decent politicians.
将可能因这次事件而导致的经济困难归咎于你的政治家。如果你的国家面临石油/天然气问题，你的政治家在保障基本能源安全方面失败了。他们变得懒惰，依赖最简单或最低成本的选择。他们没有意识到能源安全就是国家安全。你可以把责任推给美国或伊朗，但最终是你们国家和人民未能选出合格的政治家。
The main question is why would crews risk their lives for such an endeavor? Insurance costs would be prohibitive. Iran just needs to hit one ship to stop 100.
主要问题是，船员为什么会为这样的事业冒生命危险？保险费用会非常高。伊朗只需要击中一艘船就能阻止100艘。
@worldwanderer91
Just rename the Straight of Hormuz to Gay of Hormuz and watch how fast Iran open it back up
只需把霍尔木兹海峡改名为“霍尔木兹湾”，看看伊朗多快会重新开放它。
@你看个锤子你看
Aren't you going to comment on the F-35 being damaged?
你不打算评论一下F-35受损的事吗？
@thomaslance5428
I hope you make it clear how VERY difficult it will be if we decide to open it.
我希望你能明确如果我们决定开放它将会有多么困难。
@Flekahckash2004
bro said iran wont last a week now it seems the war is becoming eternity
兄弟说伊朗撑不到一周，现在看来战争似乎变成了永恒。
@archaicsentinel
The actual safe spot of passage in the Strait is super narrow. If Iran or any country sinks a ship in the Strait, the debris from said ship would need to be cleared before other ships can even pass.
霍尔木兹海峡的实际安全通行区域非常狭窄。如果伊朗或任何国家在海峡中沉没一艘船，残骸需要被清除，其他船只才能通过。
@jameswyre6480
Excellent episode again! One thing to note about Iranian intent. With the decapitation strikes that intensify whenever leaders meet to try negotiations or planning, the US and Israel have forced Iran into decentralized command and even issues where isolated IRGC units attack say Oman against the wishes of High Command to the extent they exist. This is a major downside for allied Gulf Countries who might well be attacked by individual IRGC drone or missile cells even if usually a taboo target. Thus, when Bibi and Trump play brinksmanship, they can trigger catastrophic attacks that may be utterly unrestrained and against unexpected targets.
又一集精彩的节目！有一点需要注意的是伊朗的意图。每当领导人会面尝试谈判或规划时，针对其进行的斩首打击会加剧，美国和以色列迫使伊朗采取去中心化指挥，甚至出现孤立的伊朗革命卫队单位违背高层指挥的意愿攻击，比如对阿曼进行袭击。这对可能遭受个别伊朗革命卫队无人机或导弹小组攻击的海湾盟国来说是一个重大缺陷，即使这些通常是禁忌目标。因此，当比比和特朗普进行边缘政策游戏时，他们可能引发灾难性的攻击，这些攻击可能完全不受限制并针对意想不到的目标。
@chrisspencer6502
Easy rule one of warfare never go to war with guys that live in the mountains and wear sandals
The combat sandal is a defining piece of equipment in modern warfare
战争的简单法则之一就是：永远不要与生活在山里、穿着凉鞋的人开战。作战凉鞋是现代战争中一个标志性的装备。
@tishanchamoditha9033
Remember iran doesnt even need to hit a ship scaring would be enough
记住，伊朗甚至不需要击中一艘船，恐吓就足够了。
@Longtack
imagine in 1000 years fragments pf this video survive with little context, and archaeologists try to figure out why a puppet was narrating ww3
想象一下，如果在1000年后，这段视频的片段幸存下来，且几乎没有上下文，考古学家试图弄清楚为什么有个傀儡在讲述第三次世界大战。
@dmac7128
Considering that the DoD may be requesting a 200 BILLION dollar supplemental, securing the strait is going to very expensive.
考虑到国防部可能请求2000亿美元的补充预算，确保海峡安全将会非常昂贵。
@hermes7587
If only someone had told Trump that Iran would close the Strait of Hormuz in case of a war...
如果有人早告诉特朗普，如果发生战争，伊朗会关闭霍尔木兹海峡就好了……
@servel2
Ukraine destroyed nearly the entirety of the Black Sea fleet with stealth submergible drones. No way to think Iran might not have the same capability.
乌克兰几乎用隐形潜水无人机摧毁了黑海舰队。没理由认为伊朗没有相同的能力。
@masterdiscounts
For the record, the president of the United States is now simultaneously claiming that he has won the war, is currently winning the war, needs help to win the war, and needs no help to win the war. All to destroy the nuclear program he claims to have already destroyed last year.
说一句，美国总统现在同时声称他已经赢得了战争，正在赢得战争，需要帮助来赢得战争，以及不需要任何帮助就能赢得战争。所有这一切都是为了摧毁他声称去年已经摧毁的核项目。
@NicolaiTschenow7530
Naval ground invasions are extremely costly, this war doesnt have the public support to handle a huge amount of casualties. If it was so simple, you bet China would have taken Taiwan a long time ago.
海军地面入侵成本极高，这场战争没有公众支持来承受大量伤亡。如果这么简单，你可以肯定中国早就Zhan领台湾（地区）了。
@DeEmperor1
Strait of Hormuz can not be opened. Doesn't matter how many warships you send there. Commercial shipping is controlled by insurance companies. They will never approve of sails as long as there is a risk. A VLCC ship cost $130 million. Basic insurance cost $250,000 and risky insurance cost minimum of $750,000 upwards. Even if insurance charge $5 million insurance, will that cover the cost of $130 million to buy a new ship if one gets hit?
You guys talk military without realising that this is a financial issue.
霍尔木兹海峡无法开放。无论你派多少军舰去那里都没有关系。商业航运由保险公司控制。只要存在风险，他们绝不会批准航行。一艘大型油轮的成本是1.3亿美元。基本保险费用为25万美元，而风险保险至少要75万美元以上。即使保险费用达到500万美元，如果一艘船被击中，是否能覆盖1.3亿美元的购船成本？你们谈论军事而没有意识到这实际上是一个财务问题。
@tusk3260
Sea mines can be used to narrow the safe path so it is easier to patrol and identify passing ships: Ship allowed to pass will go in the mine free narrow path, while anything that goes where the mines are is obviously the enemy and can be fired at without even needing their identification.
水雷可以用来缩小安全通道，这样更容易进行巡逻和识别过往船只：允许通过的船只会进入没有水雷的狭窄通道，而任何进入水雷区域的船只显然就是敌人，可以在不需要确认身份的情况下开火。
@JiajuChen
As far as i know GPS signal is completely f-cked in that region. Chinese sailor who made the adventures relied solely on tradional methodes.
据我所知，该地区的GPS信号完全受损。进行冒险的中国船员完全依赖传统方法。
@ValensBellator
I had thought Trump would just leave to avoid hurting his midterm chances, but now it’s looking like he plans to stay for months. I don’t think they’re going anywhere even if it’s political suicide for them come November. I question if Iran can sustain itself for that long.
我本以为特朗普会选择离开，以避免伤害他的中期选举机会，但现在看来他计划留几个月。我认为即使对他们来说在11月是政治自杀，他们也不会走。我怀疑伊朗能否维持那么长时间。
@teru797
I thought Murica was gonna be able to open the straight and end this special military operation in only a few days? I thought it was 3 days
我以为美国能够在几天内打开海峡，结束这次特别军事行动？我以为只需要3天。
@onenote6619
Alternatively, Iran comes up with a registry of ships that will not be attacked if they transit the Strait and don't put anyone who carries stuff for the USA or Israel on that list. Even if a few were to sneak through, Iran would only have to do serious damage once, and ships not on the list would become uninsurable.
或者，伊朗制定一份船只登记名单，确保在通过海峡时不会被攻击，而不把运送美国或以色列货物的船只列入该名单。即使有一些船只侥幸通过，伊朗只需造成一次严重损害，那些不在名单上的船只将变得无法投保。
@teng27
Iran had been preparing for US strike for over 40 years and Iran finally hit one US fighter with heat seeking missile. I was hoping all the hypes that Iran would have downed at least dozen of US aircrafts on first week as everyone expected would happened if conflict to occur.
Disappointed in Iran air defense.
伊朗已为美国的打击准备了超过40年，最终伊朗用热寻导弹击落了一架美国战斗机。我本希望所有人都期待的，如果发生冲突，伊朗至少会在第一周击落十几架美国飞机的夸张想法能成真。对伊朗的空中防御感到失望。
@mountainmanmike1014
Pentagon officials have made detailed preparations for deploying U.S. ground forces into Iran, multiple sources briefed on the discussions said. The U.S. is preparing to deploy elements of the 82nd Airborne Division into the Middle East region.
五角大楼官员已为将美国地面部队部署到伊朗进行了详细准备，多位知情人士透露。美国正准备将第82空降师的部分部队部署到中东地区。
@bastiontec5572
In 1953, the United States and United Kingdom backed a coup that overthrew Iran’s elected Prime Minister Mossadegh after he nationalized oil, restoring the Shah and shaping long term tensions. This would be the second time USA is going after the oil.
1953年，美国和英国支持了一场政变，推翻了伊朗民选总理穆萨德赫，他在国有化石油后恢复了沙阿的统治，并加深了长期紧张关系。这将是美国第二次针对石油采取行动。
@АндрійКовальчук-о8ч
Commercial optical fibers have limited length. China sell max 60km. That not mean 60km straight path of drone, but 30-40 km could be, maybe even 50km in best scenario. Wind will unwind some amount of fibers. You will require repeater for longer fiber length or use non-standard special fibers, which cost significantly more and there are limited possible manufacturers for such fibers (if such fibers exist, because there are no such fibers on the market). Repeater will require to create de facto a cable, weight of which will decrease drone payload. In addition preparing such drones with fibers require some additional time, during which drone team may be exposed. I think there are will be very small amount of such drones in this specific case and quite limited distance of using.
商业光纤的长度有限。中国出售的最大长度为60公里。这并不意味着无人机可以直线飞行60公里，而是可能在30-40公里，甚至在最佳情况下可达到50公里。风会影响一些光纤的长度。对于更长的光纤长度，你需要中继器，或者使用非标准的特殊光纤，这些光纤的成本显著更高，而且可能的制造商数量有限（如果这些光纤存在，因为市场上没有这样的光纤）。中继器的使用实际上需要创建一条电缆，这将减少无人机的有效载荷。此外，准备带光纤的无人机需要一些额外时间，这期间无人机团队可能会暴露在危险中。我认为在这种特定情况下，这类无人机的数量会非常少，使用距离也相当有限。
@BigMrSox
If Iran can't defend Kharg, they should destroy it scorched earth style in order to prevent Trump and his corpo buddies from seizing it's oil
如果伊朗无法防御霍尔木兹岛，他们应该以焦土政策摧毁它，以防特朗普和他的公司伙伴夺取那里的石油。
@tedbreckner
It is not closed. It is open. Iranian, Chinese, Indian and Pakistani ships have passed through the Strait. The Japanese will too soon. You just need to make an arrangement with the (defeated??) Iranians.
海峡并没有关闭。它是开放的。伊朗、中国、印度和巴基斯坦的船只已经通过了这个海峡。日本的船只也很快会通过。你只需要和（被击败的??）伊朗人达成协议。
@angelaferkel7922
the US is not able to keep up this war without a great effort. Militarily and strategically speaking the US is lightyears ahead of Iran and can win all the small scale engagements in the short term. But in the long term the US population will riot and not accept yet another long and extremely costly war in the middle east while body bags of their own children start stockpiling and ammunitions against China starting to get used up
美国无法在没有巨大努力的情况下继续这场战争。从军事和战略角度来看，美国在伊朗面前遥遥领先，能够在短期内赢得所有小规模交战。但从长远来看，美国民众将会暴动，不会接受又一场漫长且极其昂贵的中东战争，而他们子女的尸袋开始堆积，针对中国的弹药也开始耗尽。
@DSG-nc1oe
If Trump and his circus troup really had the ability to open the Strait of Hormuz, they would have done it long ago. will not ask European allies to help them escort them. In fact, once the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps filled the strait with mines. No one can pass from there. The Strait of Hormuz is a natural barrier, and its channel is too narrow. No minesweeper can calmly carry out mine clearance operations in the strait at a speed of 3 knots brave the offensive drones, anti-ship missiles or even torpedoes.
如果特朗普和他的马戏团真的有能力打开霍尔木兹海峡，他们早就应该做到这一点。他们不会请求欧洲盟友帮助护航。实际上，一旦伊朗革命卫队在海峡布满水雷，就没有人可以通过。霍尔木兹海峡是一个自然屏障，其航道过于狭窄。没有扫雷艇能在3节的速度下平稳地进行扫雷行动，还要抵御攻击无人机、反舰导弹甚至鱼雷。
@teamdoghouse82880
The best way to prevent these ships from being attacked would’ve been to not attack Iran for bullshit reasons in the first place…
防止这些船只被攻击的最好办法就是一开始不要以毫无根据的理由攻击伊朗……
@KpoplabPro
I guess that the new reality is that the oil tankers or in fact any ship needs to be retrofitted with anti balistic weapons, converted to a warship
我想新的现实是，油轮或实际上任何船只都需要加装反弹道武器，改装成战舰。
@dannylo5875
If Iran keeps it up for about three more months...the invasion will prove fatal. To the US economy. Nobody wants to pay above 5 or 6 dollars...or even more in gas in gallons at the pump Or over 150 in Brent.
如果伊朗再这样坚持三个月……入侵将对美国经济造成致命打击。没有人想在加油站支付超过5或6美元……甚至更多的油价，或者布伦特原油超过150美元。
@Maximbot3000
The axis of Epstein is speed running 'oil war defeat in the middle east'. Everyone else will be poorer as a result
爱泼斯坦轴心正在快速进行“中东石油战争失败”。其他所有国家都将因此变得更穷。
@Overlord1189-c2z
Iran has lots of underground tunnels along the coast line and the islands that they use to launch sea drones, torpedoes, mines etc. They are not visible from the above so it is hard to know how many they have or where they are located.
Edit: they have also use smart mines that are dorment and have been deployed at the bottom of the Persian gulf, straits of Hormuz, etc and can be activated remotely. Also, the narrowest part of the Straits of Hormuz there is only 2 shipping lanes, one inbound and one outbound so that makes it really tough to protect.
伊朗沿海岸线和岛屿有很多地下隧道，他们用这些隧道发射海上无人机、鱼雷、水雷等。这些隧道从上方看不见，因此很难知道他们有多少个或位于哪里。
补充：他们还使用了静默水雷，这些水雷已经部署在波斯湾、霍尔木兹海峡等地，可以远程激活。此外，在霍尔木兹海峡最狭窄的地方只有两个航道，一个是进港航道，一个是出港航道，这使得保护工作非常困难。
@mofuziTP10
Iran's drones don't use GPS, they use Russian and Chinese GLONASS or Beidou now. Is it me or is Binkov's Analysis always Pro-USA? The bias is there and obvious for all to see, but Iran will prove Binkov utterly wrong come this April.
伊朗的无人机不使用GPS，他们现在使用俄罗斯和中国的GLONASS或北斗。是我想多了，还是Binkov的分析总是亲美？这种偏见显而易见，但伊朗将在四月证明Binkov完全错误。
@solrubrum
How about they try diplomacy to open it up? Stop murdering the people you negotiate with. Stop acting like rats and more like adult humans.
他们为什么不试试外交来打开它？停止杀害你们谈判的人。别像老鼠一样行动，要更像成年人。
@tylernathan7985
AA and ship defense guys are getting all kinds of target practice, just pray we have large stockpiles and we don’t run out.
防空和船只防御的人员正在进行各种目标练习，只希望我们有大量的库存，不会用完。
@nekomakhea9440
There's a loud background hum that cuts in and out when your mic cutoff triggers as you speak. You might need a low pass filter on your audio or something.
当你的麦克风在说话时触发切断时，会有一种响亮的背景嗡嗡声进出。你可能需要在音频上使用低通滤波器或其他东西。
@luddite31
This will sound bad, but this is such a fascinating war to watch. It's like the ultimate real-time strategy game. We've got a huge mix of high-end and low-end technologies battling back and forth. Both sides have potential to escalate too- Iran could fully block the straits with mines, or the US could start hitting Iran's oil boats- but so far they're both holding back to allow some flow of oil. Iran's military must be in absolute chaos right now, with all of their leadership dead and communications destroyed, but there's still a hell of a lot of guys in caves with drones or small boats who can launch attacks. US is going all out, sending 3 carriers, bombers, drones, and now even A10s, bombing thousands of targets.
这听起来可能不太好，但这场战争真是令人着迷。就像是一场终极的实时战略游戏。我们看到高端和低端技术的巨大混合在此交锋。双方都有升级的潜力——伊朗可以用水雷完全封锁海峡，或者美国可以开始打击伊朗的油船——但到目前为止，他们都在克制，以允许一些石油流动。此刻，伊朗的军队一定处于绝对的混乱中，他们的领导层死伤惨重，通讯设施被摧毁，但仍然有很多人在洞穴里用无人机或小船发起攻击。美国正在全力以赴，派出三艘航母、轰炸机、无人机，现在甚至还有A10攻击机，轰炸数千个目标。
My guess is that it will take roughly a month for the US to finish off most of Iran's weapons that can hit the strait, but then they'll still need to escort ships there just in case a few drones or small missiles are left hidden somewhere. Maybe we'll start to see large scale use of laser weapons, since those are basically perfect for stopping that sort of small-scale drone attack. I do not think Iran will be able to keep it closed permanently, there's just too much pressure on them right now and no one is coming running to their rescue. Japan and the UK have also recently agreed to send some ships to help.
我猜美国大约需要一个月的时间来摧毁伊朗大部分能够打击海峡的武器，但他们仍然需要护航船只，以防还有一些无人机或小型导弹藏在某个地方。也许我们会开始看到激光武器的大规模使用，因为这些武器基本上非常适合阻止这种小规模的无人机攻击。我认为伊朗无法永久封闭海峡，目前对他们的压力太大，没人会跑来救他们。日本和英国最近也同意派遣一些船只来提供帮助。
@Spencer-i6v2i
All we've learned is that Israel will continuously say America we are allies you have to help and then proceeded to act like America isn't your ally didnt Israel attack America First during the 12-day war hey we're going to attack a bunch of countries let's attack USA radar so they can't track our attack
我们所了解到的只是以色列会不断对美国说，我们是盟友，你必须帮助我们，然后又表现得好像美国不是他们的盟友。以色列在12天的战争中不是首先攻击美国吗？嘿，我们要攻击一堆国家，让我们攻击美国的雷达，这样他们就无法追踪我们的攻击。
@kalebj7001
point to note, the Iranians have taken out 5 KC-135 Tankers (add to that 2 more - one crashed and the other damaged).. with 7 Tankers void for mission, it has limited the operational capacity of Airstrikes and patrol (especially for F-15, F-18, F-35 and F-22).. these fuel constraints means re-routing Tankers (additional KC-135s to the West Asia theatre).. all this makes the sorties and airstrike missions set back a little, even if its a minor set back, it can create a psychological and operational problem. A F-35 being shot and damaged is an example of whats going wrong in Iranian airspace for an airforce that claimed Air Superiority in the region. Iran will make use of this as much as possible, because next week USS Tripoli will make its presence near the Gulf.. which means more F-35Bs (need not worry about tankers for mid-air refueling, they got the Ship to land on).
需要注意的是，伊朗已经击落了5架KC-135加油机（再加上另外2架——一架坠毁，另一架受损）……这导致7架加油机无法执行任务，限制了空袭和巡逻的作战能力（特别是对于F-15、F-18、F-35和F-22）。这些燃料限制意味着需要重新调度加油机（额外的KC-135到西亚战区）……这一切使得出动和空袭任务稍有延迟，即使是小的延迟，也会造成心理和作战上的问题。一架F-35被击落并受损就是伊朗空域出现问题的一个例子，而这个空军声称在该地区拥有空中优势。伊朗将尽可能利用这一点，因为下周USS Tripoli将在海湾附近出现……这意味着更多的F-35B（不需要担心中途加油的加油机，他们可以在舰上着陆）。
@josesierraromero8316
the real problem here is Iran is a mountain country,not at all like Irak,that was a wasteland,shooting range and Iraki armies virtual sitting ducks. Iran have mountains,creeks,hills,long narrow valleys and some forests,all too close and ALONGSIDE the naval corridor. is extremely difficult but not impossible neutralize the menace Iran can apply. Time is the great Iran's ally and the worst enemy West have. time IS money. too much money..
这里真正的问题是伊朗是一个山地国家，根本不像伊拉克，那是一个荒地，射击场和伊拉克军队几乎是活靶子。伊朗有山脉、小溪、丘陵、狭长的山谷和一些森林，所有这些都靠近并沿着海军通道。要中和伊朗能施加的威胁极其困难，但并非不可能。时间是伊朗的伟大盟友，也是西方最大的敌人。时间就是金钱，太多的钱。
@foulu1247
Russia has it's own Vietnam War in Ukraine and now America has it's own Special Military Operation (sorry, excursion, lol) in Iran. Downold Syndrome Trump doesn't seem to realize that it's too late, he keeps bragging about air supremacy and leaders decimated but those drones keep flying on oil and gas facilities. The strait isn't your concern but it is for your gulf state allies...
俄罗斯在乌克兰有自己的越南战争，而美国现在在伊朗有自己的特别军事行动（抱歉，应该说“远足”，哈哈）。唐纳德·特朗普似乎没有意识到已经太晚了，他不停地吹嘘空中优势和领导人被消灭，但那些无人机仍在飞向石油和天然气设施。霍尔木兹海峡不是你的关切，但对你的海湾盟友来说却是……
@mrpower33
What’s odd is why the rest of the world seems so sanguine about the current situation. Regardless of what you think about the war, it’s clearly not tenable to allow Iran to retain this leverage over global trade. The solutions offered by detractors seem to rely on time travel, which as far as we know is more technically challenging than regime change in Iran at the moment.
奇怪的是，为什么世界其他地方对当前局势显得如此淡定。无论你对战争的看法如何，显然让伊朗保留对全球贸易的这种杠杆是不切实际的。反对者提出的解决方案似乎依赖于时间旅行，而就我们所知，这在技术上比目前在伊朗进行政权更替要困难得多。
@thomasgreene8054
Even if the US captures Hormuz Strait and the coasts of Iran, IRGC still can fire ballistic missiles taking out all Arab countries' oil refineries, so even capturing the strait is meaningless because the US no ability to stop Iran's missile and drone production at all.
即使美国占领了霍尔木兹海峡和伊朗的沿海地区，伊朗革命卫队仍然可以发射弹道导弹摧毁所有阿拉伯国家的石油炼油厂，因此占领海峡是毫无意义的，因为美国根本无法阻止伊朗的导弹和无人机生产。
@Banker88
Should of waited until Iran had nukes ( couple hundred ) another 20 000 ballistic missiles make ut more fun
应该等到伊朗拥有核武器（几百枚）和另外2万枚弹道导弹，那样会更有趣。
@thearlongpark
The strait is only closed to US and Israel ships. Any ships can pass as long as they pay fee in Chinese yuan. MSM always try to hide truths to "manage" the sheeps.
这个海峡对于美国和以色列的船只是关闭的。任何船只只要支付人民币费用就可以通过。主流媒体总是试图隐藏真相，以“管理”民众。
@samael7867
on paper iran has a large amount of missles.. well they proving it every day, ask the israelies, they know exactly how strong iran is right now.
从表面上看，伊朗拥有大量导弹……他们每天都在证明这一点，问问以色列人，他们知道伊朗现在有多强大。
@wesleywright7796
What's total hypocrisy is the US supposedly hit a school on accident, citizen target and IRAN HITS CITIZEN TARGETS ALL THE TIME AND THE LEFT SAYS NOTHING BECAUSE THEY HATE US.
真正的虚伪在于，美国声称误击了一所学校，目标是平民，而伊朗却一直在攻击平民目标，左派对此无动于衷，因为他们讨厌美国。
@anthonywalker6268
I don't think any of the gulf states are actually going to find it worth it, especially with production in the area destroyed. Probably cheaper for them just to switch area's.
我认为海湾国家根本不会觉得这值得，尤其是该地区的生产已经被摧毁。他们换个地方可能更便宜。
@lowspeccrysis7624
Iran becoming America's Ukraine. Satellite images show American military bases devastated by drones and missiles. Billions of dollars of radar & equipment damages. Even damage to refueling tankers. And now damage to a F35.
伊朗正在成为美国的乌克兰。卫星图像显示，美国军事基地遭到无人机和导弹的严重破坏。数十亿美元的雷达和设备损失，甚至连加油机也受到了损坏，现在连F35也受损了。
@speerie736
The fact that people is here discussing how to improve the death ratio on Iran, regarding an ongoing war fueled by lies and obscure interests, surely serves as a more effective demoralization campaign towards any decent human being that whatever shit the Secret Agencies or Epsteins of the world are capable of coming up whit. This, for the banality in its own evil, is 100% more shocking for me.
人们在这里讨论如何改善对伊朗的死亡比例，而这场战争是由谎言和模糊利益推动的，显然对于任何有良知的人来说，这比世界上任何秘密机构或爱泼斯坦所能想出的阴暗手段更有效地打击士气。这种平庸中的邪恶对我来说是100%更震惊的。
@yourfriend4104
Most likely sending ground troops. Trump says he doesn't or won't despite mentioning it, but that's just damage control on his part.
Its just sheer incompetence as everyone literally heard him say "we won" to "we are winning" to "we need nato" to "nato is lost and we don't need them" to "nato will suffer"
最有可能的是派遣地面部队。特朗普说他不这样做，或者不会这样做，尽管提到过，但这只是他的一种危机控制。
这完全是无能，因为每个人都听到过他从“我们赢了”到“我们正在赢”再到“我们需要北约”，然后是“北约已经失去了，我们不需要他们”，最后又说“北约将遭受损失”。
@big8611
Companies will get desperate ahahaha, what about the crew? do they get desperate to die for the sake of the company?
公司会变得绝望哈哈哈，那船员呢？他们会绝望到愿意为公司的利益而死吗？
@Baddy187
Blame your politicians for any possible economic hardship from this event. If your country faces oil/gas problems, your policians have failed in securing basic energy safety. They got lazy and didn't mind depending on the easiest or cheapest options. They failed to see how energy security is national security. You can blame the US or Iran all you want, but it is your country and people that failed to deliver decent politicians.
将可能因这次事件而导致的经济困难归咎于你的政治家。如果你的国家面临石油/天然气问题，你的政治家在保障基本能源安全方面失败了。他们变得懒惰，依赖最简单或最低成本的选择。他们没有意识到能源安全就是国家安全。你可以把责任推给美国或伊朗，但最终是你们国家和人民未能选出合格的政治家。
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